Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Job Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Job Simulator?

Collectathon + Job Simulator

Of 33 developers who shipped a Collectathon Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $33k, ×70 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $3.0k. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 42 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.4 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 69.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 42 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Job Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.2k → $595k → $60k (still earning) → $4.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Job Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $3.1k (exactly $3,050)
Median $33k (exactly $33,173)
Top 25% $134k (exactly $133,532)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,122,047)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 38
Announced 42
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 650% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Job Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Immersive Sim, Life Sim
Price point
$8.50 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $8.50.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 62,460 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.1k, median $33k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.1k. 42 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  2. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  3. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  4. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  5. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  6. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  7. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  8. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  9. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  11. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  12. + ModernFair22 devs · median $2.2k · 21 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
TCG Card Shop Simulator $19.99 47,357 96% 1.4M $28M (exactly $28,399,993) OPNeon Games
Leaf it Alone $5.99 6,244 95% 187k $1.1M (exactly $1,122,047) Eternity
Supercar Collection Simulator $12.99 1,528 85% 46k $595k (exactly $595,462) Kiki Games
Supermarket Chaos $4.99 3,266 92% 98k $489k (exactly $488,920) BunnyHop
Anime Shop Simulator ✨ $14.99 589 73% 18k $265k (exactly $264,873) One More Time
Sort Them Ducks $5.99 1,461 92% 44k $263k (exactly $262,542) Mr.Duck
Tabletop Game Shop Simulator $12.99 480 84% 14k $187k (exactly $187,056) Ludogram, Knight Fever Games
Gacha Capsule Shop Simulator - Akihabara · EA $12.40 379 82% 11k $141k (exactly $140,988) UGC90
Cellar Keeper $4.99 892 89% 27k $134k (exactly $133,532) EgoTrampoline
Map Map - A Game About Maps $14.99 264 91% 7.9k $119k (exactly $118,721) Pipapo Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.