Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Artificial Intelligence

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an AI Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Artificial Intelligence

Of 46 developers who shipped an AI Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $290. Revenue is up 2940% on the market; 30 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 2940% on the market, 30 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Artificial Intelligence
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $180 → $6.3k → $629 (still earning) → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Artificial Intelligence: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $282 (exactly $282)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,284)
Top 5% $489k (exactly $488,920)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 93
Announced 30
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2940% on the market, supply 565% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Artificial Intelligence
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Puzzle, Hidden Object
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 42,717 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $290, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $290. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  9. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  10. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  11. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  12. + ModernFair22 devs · median $2.2k · 21 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road $69.99 11,180 88% 335k $23M (exactly $23,474,646) LEVEL5 Inc.
Librarian: Tidy Up the Arcane Library! $5.99 24,497 94% 735k $4.4M (exactly $4,402,111) ArtRising
SimplePlanes older $12.99 9,811 93% 294k $3.8M (exactly $3,823,347) Jundroo, LLC
Supermarket Chaos $4.99 3,266 92% 98k $489k (exactly $488,920) BunnyHop
Sort Them Ducks $5.99 1,461 92% 44k $263k (exactly $262,542) Mr.Duck
Cellar Keeper $4.99 892 89% 27k $134k (exactly $133,532) EgoTrampoline
TV Archive: Tidy Up Together $4.99 544 71% 16k $81k (exactly $81,437) Games Together
TCG Multiplayer Card Shop Simulator · EA $12.99 198 54% 5.9k $77k (exactly $77,161) Alkame Games
Megastore: Tidy Up Together $5.99 326 91% 9.8k $59k (exactly $58,582) Yolo Games Studio
I Need to Fix My Dream Car (But I Work at a Junkyard) $12.99 110 82% 3.3k $43k (exactly $42,867) GameFactory, Kai
Mall: Tidy Up Together $4.99 243 69% 7.3k $36k (exactly $36,377) Games Together

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.