Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Collectathon game?

Collectathon + Dogs

Of 22 developers who shipped a Dog Collectathon game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $37k, ×80 the market median. Revenue is down 15% on the market; 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 15% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $898 → $1.7k → $9.1k → $538 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,593)
Top 5% $38k (exactly $37,781)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 87
Announced 26
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $1.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 15% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Platformer
Price point
$1.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Cute, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $1.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 640 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $37k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Pupperazzi: The Dog Photography Game older $19.99 443 94% 13k $266k (exactly $265,667) Sundae Month
An Airport for Aliens Currently Run by Dogs older $19.99 224 87% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Strange Scaffold
Grapple Dogs: Cosmic Canines older $17.99 199 97% 6.0k $107k (exactly $107,400) Medallion Games
Desk Paws $5.99 463 86% 14k $83k (exactly $83,201) GinkgoGames
Salamander County Public Television older $9.99 233 96% 7.0k $70k (exactly $69,830) Tinzone Games
A Corgi's Cozy Hike $19.99 63 100% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) Scalisco
Mr. Run and Jump older $24.99 45 95% 1.4k $34k (exactly $33,736) Graphite Lab, Heavy Horse Games
Dog Man: Mission Impawsible $29.99 28 96% 840 $25k (exactly $25,192) Floor 84 Studio
Howloween Hero older $9.99 56 96% 1.7k $17k (exactly $16,783) Gossamer Games
Loot Hound™ older $7.99 59 91% 1.8k $14k (exactly $14,142) Rhizome Games™
Lighthaze World $18.99 16 100% 480 $9.1k (exactly $9,115) Radiobush
Cloudy & Stormy: Pawtastic Adventure! $14.99 17 100% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Joyhop Games, GGBay
101 Cute Dogs: Find & Paint $4.99 24 79% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) Cozy Pixel
101 Cute Playland Dogs: Find & Paint $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Cozy Pixel
Shepherd Knight $14.99 4 100% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Cadabra Games
Considerable Grandfather $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) The Niknokination Collaboration
Wantama☆Life $24.99 2 100% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) CyberStep, Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.