Games › Survival › Survival + Cold War
Should I ship a Cold-War Survival game?
Survival + Cold War
Only 8 developers shipped a Cold-War Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $550k, ×883 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,336) |
| Top 25% | $480k (exactly $479,760) |
| Top 5% | $555k (exactly $554,722) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Survival
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 82% positive over 15,401 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Social DeductionFair
- + Word GameFair
- + CatsFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + DogsFair
- + Martial ArtsLong shot
- + Boomer ShooterLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER 2025 · $20M 
METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version 2023 · $3.2M 
Tunguska: The Visitation - Final Cut 2021 · $756k 
METAL GEAR SOLID: Peace Walker - Master Collection Version 2026 · $555k 
Scavland 2026 · EA · $480k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | METAL GEAR SOLID Δ: SNAKE EATER | $49.99 | 13,554 82% | 407k | $20M (exactly $20,326,934) | KONAMI | |
| | METAL GEAR SOLID 3: Snake Eater - Master Collection Version | older | $19.99 | 5,403 89% | 162k | $3.2M (exactly $3,240,179) | KONAMI |
| | Tunguska: The Visitation - Final Cut | older | $14.99 | 1,682 87% | 50k | $756k (exactly $756,395) | Rotorist Workshop |
| | METAL GEAR SOLID: Peace Walker - Master Collection Version | $19.99 | 925 79% | 28k | $555k (exactly $554,722) | KONAMI | |
| | Scavland | · EA | $19.99 | 800 81% | 24k | $480k (exactly $479,760) | NoShadow |
 | Chornobyl Liquidators | older | $19.99 | 595 50% | 18k | $357k (exactly $356,822) | Live Motion Games, Frozen Way |
 | METAL GEAR SOLID: MASTER COLLECTION Vol.2 | $49.99 | 49 65% | 1.5k | $73k (exactly $73,485) | KONAMI | |
 | BORIS THE ROCKET 🚀 | older | $9.99 | 87 97% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $26,074) | toR Studio |
 | Affliction | older | $0.99 | 106 47% | 3.2k | $3.1k (exactly $3,148) | Corrosive Studios LLC |
 | Sleepless | $5.99 | 11 54% | 330 | $2.0k (exactly $1,977) | CaRuFy, Nagodo | |
 | Chornobyl Breakout | $0.99 | 45 71% | 1.4k | $1.3k (exactly $1,336) | Dark Duck Games | |
 | Nuclear Frost | $1.99 | 14 35% | 420 | $836 (exactly $836) | Broken Singularity | |
 | Lost Stories | $6.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Fugon | |
 | Avoid The Stalin's Purge | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | DNCG | |
 | Terra Lapsa: After Ragnarök | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | PalotásForge |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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