Do I ship it?

GamesShoot 'Em UpShoot 'Em Up + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Shoot 'Em Up?

Shoot 'Em Up + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 6 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VILOVEJETS, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.0k against a market of $480. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 9 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shoot 'Em Up + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Shoot 'Em Up + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,040)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 34
Announced 9
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Shoot 'Em Up, Choose Your Own Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,193 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $3.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shoot 'Em Up with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FaithFair13 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  2. + RomanceFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  4. + Quick-Time EventsFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair39 devs · median $628 · 36 announced
  6. + IdlerFair36 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair70 devs · median $599 · 54 announced
  8. + Resource ManagementFair26 devs · median $599 · 34 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair749 devs · median $419 · 783 announced
  10. + SwordplayLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  11. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 12 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $8.1k · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Shoot 'Em Up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SEX with HITLER older $6.99 3,358 81% 101k $704k (exactly $704,173) Adolf Games
Hero of Fate older $2.99 495 78% 15k $44k (exactly $44,402) Planescape Game Studio
Kamikaze Lassplanes older $19.99 37 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) Inky Dreams
Super Retro Fighter · EA older $11.99 57 73% 1.7k $21k (exactly $20,503) Syndrome interactive, Cat God Studio
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel older $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Innomen Team
Brother Wings older $1.99 130 72% 3.9k $7.8k (exactly $7,761) Brogames
Survival Mission Z older $7.99 32 62% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) RsWorks
Kooring VR Wonderland:Mecadino's Attack older $15.99 10 100% 300 $4.8k (exactly $4,797) VRANI inc.
VILOVEJETS $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Polka Studio
Just Survive older $4.99 21 47% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Boritto
Galactic Plague 2000 $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Yacoobs C.M, TR Old School Gamer
MEMOLOGY: ESCAPE OF MEMES $0.99 35 91% 1.1k $1.0k (exactly $1,040) Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel
Glusiverse · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Trusiga
Peekablock · EA $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Goose Gang Games
GastroNomicon · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TH3 NΔKOMΔ PROTOCOL

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.