Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Online Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 28 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×1437 the market median. Revenue is up 230% on the market; 84 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 230% on the market, 84 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $14k → $231k → $12k → $1.0k → $5.4k → $1.3k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,174)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 84
Announced 84
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 230% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Building, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 17,762 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DayZ older $49.99 387,850 78% 12M $582M (exactly $581,658,645) Bohemia Interactive
Anno 117: Pax Romana $59.99 12,150 69% 365k $22M (exactly $21,866,355) Ubisoft Mainz
Watch Dogs®: Legion older $59.99 11,891 56% 357k $21M (exactly $21,400,233) Ubisoft Toronto
Car Service Together · EA $19.99 3,589 79% 108k $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323) V12 Studio
Monster Prom 2: Monster Camp older $11.99 4,994 97% 150k $1.8M (exactly $1,796,342) Beautiful Glitch
Spirit of the Island older $14.99 1,191 69% 36k $536k (exactly $535,593) 1M Bits Horde
Love Begins With Goodbye $15.99 973 94% 29k $467k (exactly $466,748) 大王工作室, 框嗒网络
Caravanners · EA $17.99 712 35% 21k $384k (exactly $384,266) Akif Akdemir
Backrooms Rec. · EA older $6.99 1,830 68% 55k $384k (exactly $383,751) Liminal Logic
The Last Oricru - Final Cut older $19.99 557 67% 17k $334k (exactly $334,033) GoldKnights
Island Market Simulator $12.99 171 76% 5.1k $67k (exactly $66,639) Zentium Studio
Eydigard · EA $19.99 55 72% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Frostisen Studio
PLAYNESE: Master Japanese · EA $19.95 17 94% 510 $10k (exactly $10,174) Wynand Smit
BACKROOMS: We Escape Forever $6.99 35 62% 1.1k $7.3k (exactly $7,340) Ziegler Studio, 치글러 스튜디오
Good Luck $4.99 42 69% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) Happybara Games
Platform 6 ONLINE | 6番線オンライン協力異変探し $9.99 18 83% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) MFC STUDIO, SHINISE GAMES, KOSEI YASUDA

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.