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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Metroidvania?
Metroidvania + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 9 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kromlech, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.0k against a market of $480. 27 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.0k (exactly $1,977) |
| Top 25% | $6.8k (exactly $6,829) |
| Top 5% | $122k (exactly $122,359) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3165% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Metroidvania, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 12,782 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Metroidvania with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ParkourPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
Reventure 2019 · $3.1M 
Caravan SandWitch 2024 · $2.1M 
Future Fragments 2024 · $270k 
Super Dungeon Maker 2023 · $233k 
Kromlech 2026 · EA · $122k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Reventure | older | $12.34 | 8,451 95% | 254k | $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) | Pixelatto |
| | Caravan SandWitch | older | $24.99 | 2,797 88% | 84k | $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) | Studio Plane Toast |
| | Future Fragments | older | $19.99 | 450 74% | 14k | $270k (exactly $269,865) | The Future Fragments Team |
| | Super Dungeon Maker | older | $19.99 | 388 82% | 12k | $233k (exactly $232,684) | FIRECHICK |
| | Kromlech | · EA | $29.99 | 136 65% | 4.1k | $122k (exactly $122,359) | Perun Creative |
 | Earth Analog | older | $19.99 | 101 65% | 3.0k | $61k (exactly $60,570) | Funcraft Games |
 | Alluris | older | $9.99 | 140 90% | 4.2k | $42k (exactly $41,958) | 562 Interactive |
 | THE GOOD OLD DAYS | $19.99 | 60 85% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $35,982) | ヨコゴシステムズ | |
 | Control Craft 3 | older | $4.99 | 235 73% | 7.1k | $35k (exactly $35,180) | Cristian Manolachi, Atomic Fabrik |
 | Soul Reaper | older | $19.99 | 24 50% | 720 | $14k (exactly $14,393) | Power Level Studios Inc. |
 | Byte The Bullet | $5.99 | 38 92% | 1.1k | $6.8k (exactly $6,829) | Esteban Marin | |
 | Billy Saves the World | $7.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) | Midnight Paw Studios | |
 | Mikoshi: The Lost Crystals | $5.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $2.0k (exactly $1,977) | DremGames | |
 | Guess the Flag! | $3.99 | 16 93% | 480 | $1.9k (exactly $1,915) | Source Byte | |
 | Anna clicker : Shadow of the Pantheon | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | FantasmaEtLux | |
 | Cozy Together ☕ | · EA | $0.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $178 (exactly $178) | Jofer's Games |
 | Shadows Of Lir'Ah | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Moonkey Lab |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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