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Should I ship a Music Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + Music
Only 18 developers shipped a Music Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, UNBEATABLE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×15 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $5.5M, ×11583 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) |
| Top 25% | $105k (exactly $104,947) |
| Top 5% | $5.5M (exactly $5,501,714) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 71 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Music
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Choices Matter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Rhythm, Adventure, Simulation
- Price point
- $12.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 13,615 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 6 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + World War IPoor odds
Comparable games
UNBEATABLE 2025 · $5.5M 
Pyre 2017 · $5.0M 
Stray Gods: The Roleplaying Musical 2023 · $2.3M 
Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis 2026 · $2.0M 
Goodbye Volcano High 2023 · $1.5M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | UNBEATABLE | $27.99 | 6,552 92% | 197k | $5.5M (exactly $5,501,714) | D-CELL GAMES | |
| | Pyre | older | $19.99 | 8,396 90% | 252k | $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) | Supergiant Games |
| | Stray Gods: The Roleplaying Musical | older | $29.99 | 2,570 92% | 77k | $2.3M (exactly $2,312,229) | Summerfall Studios |
| | Yunyun Syndrome!? Rhythm Psychosis | $16.99 | 3,974 91% | 119k | $2.0M (exactly $2,025,548) | Alliance Arts, WHO YOU | |
| | Goodbye Volcano High | older | $29.99 | 1,676 89% | 50k | $1.5M (exactly $1,507,897) | KO_OP |
 | Symphonic Rain | older | $39.99 | 1,114 97% | 33k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,466) | KOGADO STUDIO |
 | Everhood 2 | $19.99 | 2,207 74% | 66k | $1.3M (exactly $1,323,538) | Chris Nordgren, Jordi Roca | |
 | Aokana - Four Rhythms Across the Blue - EXTRA2 | older | $24.99 | 1,400 99% | 42k | $1.0M (exactly $1,049,580) | sprite, NekoNyan Ltd. |
 | Rising Star 2 | older | $19.99 | 670 94% | 20k | $402k (exactly $401,799) | Gilligames |
 | OBSCURA | · EA older | $14.99 | 453 99% | 14k | $204k (exactly $203,714) | Rotten Raccoons |
 | Rock Star Life Simulator | $12.49 | 498 85% | 15k | $187k (exactly $186,601) | HOGO Games | |
 | K-pop Idol Stories: Road to Debut | $19.99 | 175 53% | 5.3k | $105k (exactly $104,947) | Wisageni Studio | |
 | Rock the Rim | $8.99 | 129 70% | 3.9k | $35k (exactly $34,791) | RedWhite & Waifuz | |
 | PixelJunk™ Eden 2 | $14.99 | 23 78% | 690 | $10k (exactly $10,343) | Q-Games Ltd. | |
 | Shady O'Grady's™ Overnight Sensation | · EA | $14.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Gilligames |
 | DODORI | · EA | $14.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | BridgeMusic |
 | The Dreamwalkers | $8.99 | 21 85% | 630 | $5.7k (exactly $5,664) | Nightbloomer Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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