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Should I ship a WWI Choices Matter game?
Choices Matter + World War I
Only 10 developers shipped a WWI Choices Matter game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sunken Engine, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $57k, ×90 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $9.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×583 the market median. Revenue is up 1290% on the market; 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) |
|---|---|
| Median | $57k (exactly $56,605) |
| Top 25% | $103k (exactly $102,549) |
| Top 5% | $366k (exactly $366,056) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1290% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Choices Matter
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- World War I
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Choices Matter
- Price point
- $13.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 2,495 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $9.9k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Choices Matter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + SportsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + TriviaFair
- + Board GameFair
- + RacingFair
- + ChessFair
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + RomePoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
Comparable games
Last Train Home 2023 · $5.4M 
All Quiet in the Trenches 2024 · EA · $690k 
11-11 Memories Retold 2018 · $602k 
Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 2023 · $541k 
Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge 2009 · $422k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Last Train Home | older | $39.99 | 4,511 86% | 135k | $5.4M (exactly $5,411,847) | Ashborne Games |
| | All Quiet in the Trenches | · EA older | $24.99 | 921 90% | 28k | $690k (exactly $690,474) | Totally Not Aliens |
| | 11-11 Memories Retold | older | $29.99 | 669 89% | 20k | $602k (exactly $601,899) | Aardman Animations, Digixart |
| | Rise Of The White Sun - 白日升 | older | $24.99 | 721 86% | 22k | $541k (exactly $540,534) | Maestro Cinetik |
| | Bad Rats: the Rats' Revenge | older | $1.99 | 7,062 77% | 212k | $422k (exactly $421,601) | Invent4 Entertainment |
 | Sunken Engine | $14.99 | 814 80% | 24k | $366k (exactly $366,056) | Two Nomads Studio | |
 | The Lightkeeper | $7.99 | 1,081 81% | 32k | $259k (exactly $259,116) | Darkphobia Games | |
 | Changeling Tale | older | $19.99 | 218 98% | 6.5k | $131k (exactly $130,735) | Helmet Fox |
 | Duskpunk | $19.99 | 171 91% | 5.1k | $103k (exactly $102,549) | Clockwork Bird, James Patton | |
 | The Last Express Gold Edition | older | $6.99 | 332 79% | 10k | $70k (exactly $69,620) | Dotemu |
 | Karigurashi Ren'ai: Living on Borrowed Love | $29.99 | 76 92% | 2.3k | $68k (exactly $68,377) | ASa Project | |
 | Lovely Lady RPG | $15.99 | 118 99% | 3.5k | $57k (exactly $56,605) | DAS POPPY UND MIA KUNSTKOLLEKTIV | |
 | Acceptable Losses | $7.99 | 133 80% | 4.0k | $32k (exactly $31,880) | Zann Archive | |
 | Miss Peacock | $9.99 | 33 96% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Otter Club | |
 | Dagger Froggy | $4.99 | 59 98% | 1.8k | $8.8k (exactly $8,832) | Solluco | |
 | Triptych Book I: Blockhead | · EA | $13.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $2.5k (exactly $2,518) | Mords, Tootsie |
 | Front Frontiers | $2.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $359 (exactly $359) | baus96 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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