Do I ship it?

GamesChoices MatterChoices Matter + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choices Matter Board Game?

Choices Matter + Board Game

Of 119 developers who shipped a Choices Matter Board Game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 150 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $120. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 150 games are announced against 81 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 150 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Choices Matter + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 119
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $719 → $28k → $2.2k → $719 → $270 → $2.2k → $748 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Choices Matter + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 119
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,897)
Top 5% $112k (exactly $111,544)
Developers, 2 yr 119
Released games 290
Announced 150
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 110% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Choices Matter
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Choices Matter, Board Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 4,965 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 150 games are announced against 81 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Choices Matter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds108 devs · median $58k · 91 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair18 devs · median $4.7k · 15 announced
  3. + SportsFair120 devs · median $2.4k · 150 announced
  4. + RhythmFair36 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced
  5. + Hidden ObjectFair261 devs · median $802 · 273 announced
  6. + TriviaFair26 devs · median $599 · 30 announced
  7. + RacingFair51 devs · median $449 · 54 announced
  8. + ChessFair19 devs · median $419 · 20 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds9 devs · median $215k · 23 announced
  10. + RomePoor odds10 devs · median $160k · 19 announced
  11. + World War IPoor odds10 devs · median $57k · 19 announced
  12. + VampiresPoor odds40 devs · median $20k · 93 announced

All 243 pairs on the Choices Matter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cultist Simulator older $19.99 10,496 82% 315k $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) Weather Factory
Hand of Fate 2 older $29.99 5,273 84% 158k $4.7M (exactly $4,744,118) Defiant Development
Tainted Grail: Conquest older $19.99 7,589 90% 228k $4.6M (exactly $4,551,123) Questline
Dune: Imperium older $22.99 3,806 94% 114k $2.6M (exactly $2,624,998) Dire Wolf
Thea: The Awakening older $19.99 3,318 87% 100k $2.0M (exactly $1,989,805) MuHa Games
Solium Infernum older $39.99 1,571 88% 47k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,729) League of Geeks
Terraformers older $19.99 3,031 88% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,817,691) Asteroid Lab
Curious Expedition older $14.99 3,951 91% 119k $1.8M (exactly $1,776,765) Maschinen-Mensch
THE GAME OF LIFE 2 older $12.49 3,702 78% 111k $1.4M (exactly $1,387,139) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Vault of the Void older $17.99 2,529 92% 76k $1.4M (exactly $1,364,901) Spider Nest Games
Gambonanza $14.99 1,604 74% 48k $721k (exactly $721,319) Blukulélé
Burden of Command™ $24.99 628 83% 19k $471k (exactly $470,812) Green Tree Games LLC
Dice With Death $13.99 779 91% 23k $327k (exactly $326,946) Sea Glass Games
Dawnfolk $14.99 664 94% 20k $299k (exactly $298,601) Darenn Keller
Passant: A Chess Roguelike $11.99 363 79% 11k $131k (exactly $130,571) Marc Makes Games
Erannorth Renaissance $19.99 186 81% 5.6k $112k (exactly $111,544) Spyridon Thalassinos
Worlds of Aria $14.99 220 90% 6.6k $99k (exactly $98,934) Ludogram
Mr. President $19.99 162 75% 4.9k $97k (exactly $97,151) Exia Labs
Master of Piece · EA $14.99 197 86% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) I M GAME, I M fine
Conquest Tactics : Realm of Sin $14.99 162 69% 4.9k $73k (exactly $72,851) Singular Sunshine Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.