Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Character Customization

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Character Customization game?

Online Co-Op + Character Customization

Of 369 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Character Customization game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 968 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×5.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $7.3M, ×4935 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 968 games are announced against 229 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 968 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Character Customization
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 369
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $76k → $29k → $13k → $27k → $6.6k → $12k (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Character Customization: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 369
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,346)
Median $8.1k (exactly $8,095)
Top 25% $145k (exactly $144,852)
Top 5% $7.4M (exactly $7,393,168)
Developers, 2 yr 369
Released games 951
Announced 968
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Character Customization; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Action, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,345,670 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $8.1k, 1 in 4 over $140k, 1 in 20 over $7.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 5 in 10 of the 193 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 968 games are announced against 229 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ELDEN RING older $59.99 831,470 93% 25M $1.5B (exactly $1,496,396,559) FromSoftware, Inc.
Baldur's Gate 3 older $59.99 755,010 96% 23M $1.4B (exactly $1,358,791,497) Larian Studios
7 Days to Die older $44.99 273,589 87% 8.2M $369M (exactly $369,263,073) The Fun Pimps
ARC Raiders $39.99 299,346 82% 9.0M $359M (exactly $359,125,396) Embark Studios
Need for Speed™ Heat older $69.99 128,933 84% 3.9M $271M (exactly $270,720,620) Ghost Games
Monster Hunter Wilds $39.99 200,984 52% 6.0M $241M (exactly $241,120,505) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
EA SPORTS FC™ 26 $69.99 99,773 50% 3.0M $209M (exactly $209,493,368) EA Canada, EA Romania
Path of Exile 2 · EA $29.99 167,730 76% 5.0M $151M (exactly $150,906,681) Grinding Gear Games
SCUM $44.99 98,554 74% 3.0M $133M (exactly $133,018,334) Gamepires
V Rising older $34.99 110,505 89% 3.3M $116M (exactly $115,997,098) Stunlock Studios
Dune: Awakening $49.99 66,844 71% 2.0M $100M (exactly $100,245,947) Funcom
PEAK $7.99 301,964 94% 9.1M $72M (exactly $72,380,771) Team PEAK
Marathon $39.99 44,919 81% 1.3M $54M (exactly $53,889,324) Bungie
NBA 2K26 $69.99 25,651 66% 770k $54M (exactly $53,859,405) Visual Concepts
REMATCH $29.99 39,905 70% 1.2M $36M (exactly $35,902,528) Sloclap

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.