Do I ship it?

GamesMetroidvaniaMetroidvania + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Metroidvania?

Metroidvania + Cats

Only 12 developers shipped a Cat Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fatal Claw, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×23 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×676 the market median. Revenue is up 655% on the market; 45 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 23.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 655% on the market, 45 announced, ×6.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Metroidvania + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $15k → $2.4k → $11k → $27k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Metroidvania + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $2.0k (exactly $2,035)
Median $11k (exactly $11,089)
Top 25% $58k (exactly $57,842)
Top 5% $321k (exactly $320,872)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 38
Announced 45
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 655% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Metroidvania
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Metroidvania
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,434 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.1k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $57k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Metroidvania with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ParkourPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  2. + Online Co-OpPoor odds12 devs · median $74k · 15 announced
  3. + CraftingPoor odds10 devs · median $34k · 61 announced
  4. + SimulationPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 35 announced
  5. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $28k · 29 announced
  6. + CollectathonPoor odds30 devs · median $16k · 78 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 33 announced
  8. + Survival HorrorPoor odds14 devs · median $14k · 46 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds102 devs · median $14k · 335 announced
  10. + VampiresPoor odds16 devs · median $14k · 29 announced
  11. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds12 devs · median $14k · 42 announced
  12. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 37 announced

All 90 pairs on the Metroidvania page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nine Sols older $29.99 40,138 94% 1.2M $36M (exactly $36,112,159) RedCandleGames
Crypt Custodian older $19.99 2,927 96% 88k $1.8M (exactly $1,755,322) Kyle Thompson
Gato Roboto older $7.99 4,363 94% 131k $1.0M (exactly $1,045,811) doinksoft
Gori: Cuddly Carnage older $21.99 1,434 96% 43k $946k (exactly $946,010) Angry Demon Studio
A Castle Full of Cats older $3.99 4,073 99% 122k $488k (exactly $487,538) Devcats
Nyaruru Fishy Fight older $7.99 1,702 89% 51k $408k (exactly $407,969) 赤瞳大白猫, 猫尾巴制作组
Fatal Claw $24.99 428 89% 13k $321k (exactly $320,872) NDEV GAMES
A Planet Full of Cats $7.99 581 89% 17k $139k (exactly $139,266) Devcats
Umbraclaw older $24.99 131 86% 3.9k $98k (exactly $98,211) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
KinnikuNeko: SUPER MUSCLE CAT older $17.99 145 95% 4.4k $78k (exactly $78,256) Kamotachi
Dungeons And Cat $9.99 193 88% 5.8k $58k (exactly $57,842) CatBellUnion
Gastova: The Witches of Arkana $14.99 59 71% 1.8k $27k (exactly $26,532) MechWolf Productions
Sunfluffs · EA $11.99 56 100% 1.7k $20k (exactly $20,143) Nuclear Strawberry
Fire Hero - Pixel Rescue $9.99 37 97% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,089) Ravenlore Studio
SwooshCat $4.99 46 86% 1.4k $6.9k (exactly $6,886) PixelForestStudio
Yarn Guardians $14.99 14 100% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) pentapaw studios
Hirai Nya $3.99 17 94% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) FirePillar2
Meowtabolism - Examining Feline Behavior within Unicellular Algae · EA $10.24 3 66% 90 $922 (exactly $922) Kasia and Associates

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.