Do I ship it?

GamesDating SimDating Sim + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Dating Sim?

Dating Sim + Cats

Of 26 developers who shipped a Cat Dating Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×11 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is up 40% on the market; 21 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 11.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 40% on the market, 21 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dating Sim + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $16k → $15k → $25k → $240 → $18k → $539 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dating Sim + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,313)
Top 25% $5.8k (exactly $5,811)
Top 5% $36k (exactly $36,234)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 98
Announced 21
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 40% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Dating Sim; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Visual Novel, Idler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 32,010 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $36k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WarStrong odds8 devs · median $100k · 3 announced
  2. + FMVStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  3. + Souls-likeStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  4. + AliensStrong odds20 devs · median $6.7k · 15 announced
  5. + PlatformerStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair39 devs · median $27k · 44 announced
  7. + FPSFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  8. + Post-apocalypticFair29 devs · median $15k · 34 announced
  9. + Quick-Time EventsFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  10. + Immersive SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  11. + Action-AdventureFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  12. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced

All 142 pairs on the Dating Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
inZOI · EA $39.99 30,020 77% 901k $36M (exactly $36,014,994) inZOI Studio
NEKOPARA Vol. 1 older $9.99 23,405 95% 702k $7.0M (exactly $7,014,478) NEKO WORKs
NEKOPARA Vol. 3 older $9.99 11,153 96% 335k $3.3M (exactly $3,342,554) NEKO WORKs
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 older $9.99 11,055 97% 332k $3.3M (exactly $3,313,184) NEKO WORKs
NEKOPARA Vol. 0 older $2.99 14,705 94% 441k $1.3M (exactly $1,319,038) NEKO WORKs
Cat's Kiss older $14.99 1,528 89% 46k $687k (exactly $687,142) Narrator, STORIA
9-nine-:Episode 3 older $19.99 1,030 91% 31k $618k (exactly $617,691) PALETTE
Hustle Cat older $19.99 1,023 94% 31k $613k (exactly $613,493) Date Nighto
NEKOPARA Extra older $4.99 3,599 97% 108k $539k (exactly $538,770) NEKO WORKs
NEKO-NIN exHeart older $9.99 847 96% 25k $254k (exactly $253,846) Whirlpool
With Your Coworker $0.99 1,220 82% 37k $36k (exactly $36,234) 搖滾冰塊
Desktop Kitten Girl $3.99 277 86% 8.3k $33k (exactly $33,157) KDream
Sakura Hime 5 $3.99 201 93% 6.0k $24k (exactly $24,060) GirlGames
Virtual AI - KURONYAM $14.99 52 71% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Shiba Neko
猫猫旅行社欢迎你! Momo's Revitalization Project! $24.99 24 91% 720 $18k (exactly $17,993) CyberStep, Inc.
Sakura Hime 6 $3.99 69 92% 2.1k $8.3k (exactly $8,259) GirlGames
Serena Hanazono’s Lost Item ~Sweet Memory~ $24.99 8 100% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) CyberStep, Inc.
Print I Love U $1.49 130 89% 3.9k $5.8k (exactly $5,811) Unknown
The Inn Between · EA $14.99 9 100% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Cats on a Lilypad Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.