Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Shooter?

Shooter + Card Game

Of 20 developers who shipped a Card Game Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 12 developers shipped in the last year and 36 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 36 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $418 → $299 → $1.3k → $210 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $5.9k (exactly $5,872)
Top 5% $57k (exactly $57,286)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 55
Announced 36
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 459 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $5.8k, 1 in 20 over $57k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
Friends vs Friends older $9.99 10,860 83% 326k $3.3M (exactly $3,254,742) Brainwash Gang
West Sweety older $1.99 3,227 83% 97k $193k (exactly $192,652) AFOG
Bullet Roulette VR older $7.99 435 86% 13k $104k (exactly $104,270) Fibrum Limited
Taboos: Cracks older $1.99 1,609 80% 48k $96k (exactly $96,057) DSGame
Lucky Shot $12.99 147 97% 4.4k $57k (exactly $57,286) Deliver Games
Break Siege · EA $14.99 66 84% 2.0k $30k (exactly $29,680) FojoGames
Spellshot older $9.99 76 69% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Team Monumental
Decks of Dexterity $14.99 33 100% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Coded Games
KUNKUN League $2.99 123 98% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,033) Seal
Feminization Device $6.99 28 75% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) FT Girl Studio
Zenvader $2.99 36 97% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) RyiSnow
KeyFortress · EA $7.99 12 83% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Daisen
One-In $4.99 9 100% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Tidecrest Studios
IKARUS · EA $7.99 3 66% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Magical Something
Spell Spiral $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) takenokohal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.