Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Capitalism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Capitalist Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Capitalism

Of 58 developers who shipped a Capitalist Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 107 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $100k, ×170 the market median. Revenue is up 330% on the market; 107 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 330% on the market, 107 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Capitalism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 58
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $198k → $5.1k → $9.0k → $900 → $210 → $1.3k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Capitalism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 58
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,348)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,086)
Top 5% $107k (exactly $107,024)
Developers, 2 yr 58
Released games 112
Announced 107
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 330% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Capitalism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Resource Management, Management
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 68% positive over 2,318 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 107 games are announced against 37 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Democracy 4 older $29.99 5,891 81% 177k $5.3M (exactly $5,300,133) Positech Games
Turmoil older $12.99 13,154 92% 395k $5.1M (exactly $5,126,114) Gamious
Democracy 3 older $24.99 6,245 73% 187k $4.7M (exactly $4,681,876) Positech Games
Total War: PHARAOH older $29.99 3,622 63% 109k $3.3M (exactly $3,258,713) CREATIVE ASSEMBLY
City of Gangsters older $29.99 1,332 73% 40k $1.2M (exactly $1,198,400) SomaSim
GearCity older $19.99 1,417 89% 43k $850k (exactly $849,775) Visual Entertainment And Technologies
Timeflow – Life Sim · EA older $14.99 1,379 91% 41k $620k (exactly $620,136) Digital Geckos
Evil Bank Manager older $11.99 1,663 76% 50k $598k (exactly $598,181) Hamsters Gaming
NEW MONOPOLY® $29.99 531 36% 16k $478k (exactly $477,741) UBISOFT, Engine Software
Lawgivers II · EA older $24.99 565 73% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) Damian Bernardi
Insider Trading $12.89 600 79% 18k $232k (exactly $232,020) Naiive
Black Gold - Shining Town $13.99 255 80% 7.7k $107k (exactly $107,024) Morexingame
Another Farm Roguelike: Rebirth $6.99 433 69% 13k $91k (exactly $90,800) Zabbo Games
High Seas, High Profits! $14.99 165 86% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) lexy.zip
Imperial Ambitions $19.99 101 81% 3.0k $61k (exactly $60,570) aoiti
Hollywood Mogul 4 $19.99 49 71% 1.5k $29k (exactly $29,385) HMdesigner
ColdRidge $9.99 97 73% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Frog Collective
SELF MADE: Investment Life Sim $14.99 52 84% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Billmeade Gaming
Family Office Simulator · EA $19.99 35 91% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,990) Vitalis Interactive

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.