Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Bullet Time

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time Parkour game?

Parkour + Bullet Time

Of 20 developers who shipped a Bullet Time Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×4.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1627 the market median. Revenue is up 2460% on the market; 35 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 2460% on the market, 35 announced, ×4.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Bullet Time
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $208 → $3.1k → $4.8k → $449 → $891 → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Bullet Time: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,593)
Top 5% $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 60
Announced 35
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2460% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Bullet Time; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Linear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 3,409 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Friend Pedro older $19.99 24,570 95% 737k $15M (exactly $14,734,629) DeadToast Entertainment
Severed Steel older $24.99 8,880 95% 266k $6.7M (exactly $6,657,336) Greylock Studio
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Boomerang X older $19.99 1,228 95% 37k $736k (exactly $736,432) DANG!
Shady Knight $19.99 898 93% 27k $539k (exactly $538,531) Alexey 'cptnsigh'
Warstride Challenges older $19.99 242 89% 7.3k $145k (exactly $145,127) Dream Powered Games
Madshot older $19.99 210 79% 6.3k $126k (exactly $125,937) Overflow
Pro Gymnast Simulator older $14.99 105 92% 3.2k $47k (exactly $47,218) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Grapple Hoops older $11.99 75 73% 2.3k $27k (exactly $26,978) Andreas Georgiou
Parkour Labs older $12.99 56 92% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,823) SoyKhaler
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)
Deedlee Doo! Carkour! $3.99 29 96% 870 $3.5k (exactly $3,471) Just Purkey Games
DOSTAVKA $2.99 38 92% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) SASHADEV, SASHA
Ricochet Raven · EA $7.99 12 91% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Kaosrio
Pigeon Hater $1.99 48 95% 1.4k $2.9k (exactly $2,866) Gif2MemeGame
LightQb $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) RobDoesStuff

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.