Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Bullet Hell

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Hell Parkour game?

Parkour + Bullet Hell

Only 13 developers shipped a Bullet Hell Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gunstoppable, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $21k, ×35 the market median. Revenue is up 1205% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 1205% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Bullet Hell
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $120 → $2.1k → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Bullet Hell: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $21,733)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 40
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1205% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Bullet Hell
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Bullet Hell; all of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Procedural Generation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Fast-Paced
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 157 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $960, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $21k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hunt Down The Freeman older $9.99 3,785 54% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) Royal Rudius Entertainment
Tokyo 42 older $19.99 392 70% 12k $235k (exactly $235,082) SMAC Games
Madshot older $19.99 210 79% 6.3k $126k (exactly $125,937) Overflow
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
ZIX · EA $9.99 28 78% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Hidden IO
NO RELOADING: Survival Trials · EA older $14.99 18 100% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) ZoopTEK
Hare older $4.99 30 63% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) zelun_
Madshot: Road to Madness older $2.99 50 64% 1.5k $4.5k (exactly $4,485) Overflow
Run or Die older $0.99 133 87% 4.0k $4.0k (exactly $3,950) Team Flow
Shoot Giant Robots and Wallrun older $4.99 22 95% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Gurj
Ricochet Raven · EA $7.99 12 91% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Kaosrio
Rogue Runner $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 42nd Machine
Mechanical Fury - Prologue $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Avian Hearts
Nova Jumper $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Paul DeAngelis
Laserade: Sugar Rush $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Design Boy
ASMR Runner $2.99 5 40% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Yattemo
StreetSync $0.99 10 100% 300 $297 (exactly $297) Tyler L
Along the Edge of the Sky $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Dark Star Nova

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.