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Should I ship a Bullet Hell Parkour game?
Parkour + Bullet Hell
Only 13 developers shipped a Bullet Hell Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Gunstoppable, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $960, ×1.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $21k, ×35 the market median. Revenue is up 1205% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $959 (exactly $959) |
| Top 25% | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) |
| Top 5% | $22k (exactly $21,733) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1205% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Parkour
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Bullet Hell; all of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Procedural Generation
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.49 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Fast-Paced
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.49 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 157 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hunt Down The Freeman | older | $9.99 | 3,785 54% | 114k | $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) | Royal Rudius Entertainment |
| | Tokyo 42 | older | $19.99 | 392 70% | 12k | $235k (exactly $235,082) | SMAC Games |
| | Madshot | older | $19.99 | 210 79% | 6.3k | $126k (exactly $125,937) | Overflow |
| | Gunstoppable | $12.49 | 58 81% | 1.7k | $22k (exactly $21,733) | CAGE Studios | |
| | ZIX | · EA | $9.99 | 28 78% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | Hidden IO |
| | NO RELOADING: Survival Trials | · EA older | $14.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $8.1k (exactly $8,095) | ZoopTEK |
| | Hare | older | $4.99 | 30 63% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | zelun_ |
| | Madshot: Road to Madness | older | $2.99 | 50 64% | 1.5k | $4.5k (exactly $4,485) | Overflow |
| | Run or Die | older | $0.99 | 133 87% | 4.0k | $4.0k (exactly $3,950) | Team Flow |
| | Shoot Giant Robots and Wallrun | older | $4.99 | 22 95% | 660 | $3.3k (exactly $3,293) | Gurj |
| | Ricochet Raven | · EA | $7.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | Kaosrio |
| | Rogue Runner | $5.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | 42nd Machine | |
| | Mechanical Fury - Prologue | $4.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | Avian Hearts | |
| | Nova Jumper | $2.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $1.2k (exactly $1,166) | Paul DeAngelis | |
| | Laserade: Sugar Rush | $7.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Design Boy | |
| | ASMR Runner | $2.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | Yattemo | |
| | StreetSync | $0.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $297 (exactly $297) | Tyler L | |
| | Along the Edge of the Sky | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Dark Star Nova |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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