Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + LGBTQ+

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an LGBTQ+ Building game?

Building + LGBTQ+

Only 10 developers shipped an LGBTQ+ Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Paralives, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $48k, ×77 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $26k; 1 in 20 cleared $24M, ×38442 the market median. Revenue is up 145% on the market; 24 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 76.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 145% on the market, 24 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + LGBTQ+
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20M → $164k → $48k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + LGBTQ+: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $25k (exactly $25,175)
Median $48k (exactly $48,286)
Top 25% $303k (exactly $302,981)
Top 5% $24M (exactly $24,141,563)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 29
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $13.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 145% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
LGBTQ+
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building
Price point
$13.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 54,167 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $26k, median $48k, 1 in 4 over $300k, 1 in 20 over $24M.

3 in 10 developers made under $26k. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Time at Sandrock older $39.99 24,110 88% 723k $29M (exactly $28,924,767) Pathea Games
Paralives · EA $39.99 20,123 89% 604k $24M (exactly $24,141,563) Alex Massé and team
Coral Island older $29.99 21,828 89% 655k $20M (exactly $19,638,652) Stairway Games
Fields of Mistria $13.99 31,918 96% 958k $13M (exactly $13,395,985) NPC Studio
Calico older $11.99 3,238 88% 97k $1.2M (exactly $1,164,709) Peachy Keen Games
Fish Game older $24.99 589 93% 18k $442k (exactly $441,573) A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink… (A Shell in the Pit Games, Creative Ink Games)
Dustland Delivery $7.99 1,264 88% 38k $303k (exactly $302,981) Neutron Star Studio
World's Dawn older $9.99 736 80% 22k $221k (exactly $220,579) Wayward Prophet
Verdant Skies older $19.99 365 78% 11k $219k (exactly $218,890) Howling Moon Software
Orange Season $14.99 364 59% 11k $164k (exactly $163,691) Innerfire Studios
Elvenfoundry $34.99 46 67% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) SunbathGames
Moonlight In Garland $14.99 78 85% 2.3k $35k (exactly $35,077) Violet LeBeaux
Saviour of the Wasteland $9.99 84 78% 2.5k $25k (exactly $25,175) PTGames
Angel Clicker $3.99 186 97% 5.6k $22k (exactly $22,264) oldflowerGames
soul Interface · EA $12.99 25 76% 750 $9.7k (exactly $9,742) soulless technologies
BOYKISSER IS COMING $2.99 79 97% 2.4k $7.1k (exactly $7,086) akhsotoen

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.