Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Building Interactive Fiction?

Building + Interactive Fiction

Only 17 developers shipped a Building Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tavern Keeper 🍻, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $360. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $33k → $776 → $14k → $719 → $1.0k → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 5% $4.1M (exactly $4,105,331)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 45
Announced 20
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building, Interactive Fiction; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Visual Novel, Base Building
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 4,782 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $4.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  6. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  7. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  10. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  11. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds32 devs · median $51k · 75 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tavern Keeper 🍻 · EA $29.99 4,563 94% 137k $4.1M (exactly $4,105,331) Greenheart Games 💚
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard older $10.99 10,207 93% 306k $3.4M (exactly $3,365,248) Bone Nail
Wild West Legacy older $26.99 1,706 39% 51k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) Moon Punch Studio
Next Space Rebels older $19.99 327 84% 9.8k $196k (exactly $196,102) Studio Floris Kaayk
Horny Warp: Hentai Fantasy older $6.99 654 92% 20k $137k (exactly $137,144) LuminatiGames
校长模拟器 older $19.99 74 12% 2.2k $44k (exactly $44,378) 校长模拟器
Hazeron Starship older $19.99 55 70% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Hazeron Freehold LLC
Native Hunter $17.99 58 72% 1.7k $31k (exactly $31,303) A.P.S
Sex Vault: The Lust-Tec Project $9.99 79 83% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Kinky Business Group
Shores of Loci older $14.99 46 91% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) MikeTeevee
双雄风流传(Romantic Emperor) $2.18 53 86% 1.6k $3.5k (exactly $3,466) Turtle game
Veilscripture AI $39.99 2 100% 60 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Lanternwake
Checkpoint Inc $4.27 8 75% 240 $1.0k (exactly $1,025) Punchers
A Beaver's Tale $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Michael Jared Games
Outsanity $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Damar Studio
Gatekeeper Simulator: Inner Circle $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Revolt Entertainment
Lore of the Frog $1.99 7 100% 210 $418 (exactly $418) Bacho, GHC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.