Games › Building › Building + Crime
Should I ship a Crime Building game?
Building + Crime
Only 13 developers shipped a Crime Building game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Schedule I, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $55k, ×88 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $13k; 1 in 20 cleared $170M, ×275918 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 52 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $13k (exactly $12,592) |
|---|---|
| Median | $55k (exactly $55,390) |
| Top 25% | $219k (exactly $219,334) |
| Top 5% | $173M (exactly $173,276,718) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 52 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Building; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Simulation, Action
- Price point
- $12.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.
The top 10 games average 97% positive over 292,747 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $13k. 52 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CatsFair
- + TabletopFair
- + Grid-Based MovementFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Vehicular CombatPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + SailingPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Schedule I | · EA | $19.99 | 288,939 97% | 8.7M | $173M (exactly $173,276,718) | TVGS |
| | Evil Genius 2: World Domination | older | $39.99 | 11,255 69% | 338k | $14M (exactly $13,502,624) | Rebellion |
| | Definitely Not Fried Chicken | older | $24.99 | 2,161 72% | 65k | $1.6M (exactly $1,620,102) | Dope Games |
| | Basement | older | $19.99 | 1,684 76% | 51k | $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) | Halfbus |
| | Constructor | older | $29.99 | 698 77% | 21k | $628k (exactly $627,991) | System 3 |
| | Drug Lord Tycoon | · EA older | $9.99 | 1,671 83% | 50k | $501k (exactly $500,799) | Duhndal |
| | Dirty Business | · EA | $14.99 | 906 75% | 27k | $407k (exactly $407,428) | Plan Dirty Games |
| | Shakedown: Hawaii | older | $19.99 | 645 90% | 19k | $387k (exactly $386,806) | Vblank Entertainment, Inc. |
| | BM General Hospital | $7.99 | 1,368 86% | 41k | $328k (exactly $327,910) | zzzgame | |
| | Weed Shop 2 | older | $9.99 | 845 86% | 25k | $253k (exactly $253,246) | ADhD Studios |
| | The Boss Gangster: Criminal Empire | · EA | $18.99 | 385 81% | 12k | $219k (exactly $219,334) | BEF GAMES |
| | Laundering Simulator - Clean Cash and Laundry | $12.99 | 399 81% | 12k | $155k (exactly $155,490) | Ritual Interactive | |
| | I Know a Guy: Shady Life Simulator | · EA | $12.99 | 398 90% | 12k | $155k (exactly $155,101) | Bunch'o'Nerds |
| | Scam Center Simulator: UnderKingdom | · EA | $10.99 | 168 75% | 5.0k | $55k (exactly $55,390) | Jiao Games |
| | My Drug Cartel | · EA | $24.99 | 48 50% | 1.4k | $36k (exactly $35,986) | Gigicom |
| | WeedEx: Drug Express Delivery | · EA | $3.99 | 108 67% | 3.2k | $13k (exactly $12,928) | CGI LAB GAMES |
| | Schedule Store Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 28 92% | 840 | $13k (exactly $12,592) | Alkame Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.