Do I ship it?

GamesBuildingBuilding + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Building game?

Building + Dogs

Of 20 developers who shipped a Dog Building game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $24k, ×38 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $280k, ×457 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 38.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Building + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $284k → $20k → $5.1k → $145k → $47k → $2.5k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Building + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Median $24k (exactly $23,900)
Top 25% $145k (exactly $145,368)
Top 5% $287k (exactly $287,135)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 54
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Building
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Building; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Farming Sim, Life Sim
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,813 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.6k, median $24k, 1 in 4 over $140k, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. 4 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Building with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds66 devs · median $28k · 70 announced
  2. + CatsFair52 devs · median $4.5k · 59 announced
  3. + TabletopFair56 devs · median $1.9k · 58 announced
  4. + Grid-Based MovementFair50 devs · median $719 · 57 announced
  5. + Interactive FictionFair17 devs · median $449 · 20 announced
  6. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds14 devs · median $303k · 40 announced
  7. + JRPGPoor odds10 devs · median $89k · 20 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds28 devs · median $85k · 61 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds112 devs · median $71k · 251 announced
  10. + Real-TimePoor odds14 devs · median $62k · 20 announced
  11. + CrimePoor odds13 devs · median $55k · 52 announced
  12. + SailingPoor odds13 devs · median $52k · 40 announced

All 210 pairs on the Building page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
No Place Like Home older $19.99 3,784 78% 114k $2.3M (exactly $2,269,265) Chicken Launcher
Animal Shelter older $19.99 3,642 87% 109k $2.2M (exactly $2,184,107) Games Incubator
STORY OF SEASONS: Pioneers of Olive Town older $39.99 1,357 82% 41k $1.6M (exactly $1,627,993) Marvelous Inc.
Calico older $11.99 3,238 88% 97k $1.2M (exactly $1,164,709) Peachy Keen Games
To The Rescue! older $19.99 1,865 66% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,118,440) Little Rock Games, indie.io
Railbound older $12.99 1,818 94% 55k $708k (exactly $708,475) Afterburn
Arctico older $9.99 2,207 70% 66k $661k (exactly $661,438) Claudio Norori, Antonio Vargas
Everdream Valley older $24.99 708 70% 21k $531k (exactly $530,788) Mooneaters
Everdell older $19.99 577 90% 17k $346k (exactly $346,027) Dire Wolf
Gourdlets older $4.99 1,954 92% 59k $293k (exactly $292,514) AuntyGames
Above the Snow $24.99 383 75% 11k $287k (exactly $287,135) Above the Desk
Gaucho and the Grassland $19.99 410 96% 12k $246k (exactly $245,877) Epopeia Games
Rancher: A new life · EA $19.99 265 64% 8.0k $159k (exactly $158,920) Sim Farm S.A.
Koira $17.99 289 93% 8.7k $156k (exactly $155,973) Studio Tolima
Not Monday Cafe $8.99 539 94% 16k $145k (exactly $145,368) Sunny Syrup Studio
Desk Paws $5.99 463 86% 14k $83k (exactly $83,201) GinkgoGames
Everdream Village · EA $19.99 107 69% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Mooneaters
Bean Beasts $13.99 113 89% 3.4k $47k (exactly $47,426) Anxious Noob
Ice World $9.99 111 57% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) CoolRabbit Games
Furry Company $5.99 133 80% 4.0k $24k (exactly $23,900) Dreamscape Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.