Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Boomer Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boomer Shooter Shooter?

Shooter + Boomer Shooter

Of 366 developers who shipped a Boomer Shooter Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 486 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $620k, ×1001 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 486 games are announced against 209 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 486 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Boomer Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 366
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $167k → $40k → $5.7k → $3.1k → $1.5k → $2.2k → $599 (still earning) → $2.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Boomer Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 366
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,594)
Top 5% $628k (exactly $628,460)
Developers, 2 yr 366
Released games 709
Announced 486
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Boomer Shooter; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Combat
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 77,293 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $620k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 194 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 486 games are announced against 209 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ULTRAKILL · EA older $29.99 213,450 97% 6.4M $192M (exactly $192,040,965) Arsi "Hakita" Patala
DOOM Eternal older $29.99 187,483 91% 5.6M $169M (exactly $168,678,455) id Software
DOOM older $19.99 155,340 95% 4.7M $93M (exactly $93,157,398) id Software
DOOM: The Dark Ages $49.99 32,209 88% 966k $48M (exactly $48,303,837) id Software
Trepang2 older $39.99 15,774 93% 473k $19M (exactly $18,924,068) Trepang Studios
Serious Sam 4 older $39.99 15,612 83% 468k $19M (exactly $18,729,716) Croteam
DUSK older $19.99 22,073 97% 662k $13M (exactly $13,237,178) David Szymanski
MOUSE: P.I. For Hire $29.99 14,604 93% 438k $13M (exactly $13,139,219) Fumi Games
Warhammer 40,000: Boltgun older $21.99 15,741 90% 472k $10M (exactly $10,384,338) Auroch Digital
Bulletstorm: Full Clip Edition older $39.99 7,849 89% 235k $9.4M (exactly $9,416,445) People Can Fly
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
Beyond Citadel $14.99 4,417 96% 133k $2.0M (exactly $1,986,325) doekuramori
Painkiller $39.99 1,091 54% 33k $1.3M (exactly $1,308,873) Anshar Studios
FUMES · EA $14.99 2,816 95% 84k $1.3M (exactly $1,266,355) FUMES team
BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT $4.99 7,743 97% 232k $1.2M (exactly $1,159,127) Joeveno
METAL EDEN $19.99 1,920 84% 58k $1.2M (exactly $1,151,424) Reikon Games
Forgive Me Father 2 $24.99 1,500 81% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550) Byte Barrel
Starship Troopers: Ultimate Bug War! $24.99 1,352 92% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,013,594) Auroch Digital

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.