Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Score Attack

Of 38 developers who shipped a Score Attack Automobile Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced.

Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×184 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 35 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 35 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $120 → $180 → $1.1k → $1.3k → $3.3k → $240 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $5.6k (exactly $5,605)
Top 5% $276k (exactly $276,208)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 102
Announced 35
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Score Attack; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Driving, Simulation
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 10,102 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  10. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  11. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds20 devs · median $17k · 17 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
WRC 8 FIA World Rally Championship older $29.99 2,007 74% 60k $1.8M (exactly $1,805,698) KT Racing
Absolute Drift older $14.99 2,192 89% 66k $986k (exactly $985,742) Funselektor Labs Inc., FlippFly
New Star™ GP older $9.99 1,143 92% 34k $343k (exactly $342,557) New Star Games Ltd.
Drift86 older $1.99 5,293 91% 159k $316k (exactly $315,992) RewindApp
VRacer Hoverbike $29.99 307 89% 9.2k $276k (exactly $276,208) VertexBreakers
Torque Drift 2 · EA $19.99 376 62% 11k $225k (exactly $225,487) Grease Monkey Games
80's OVERDRIVE older $9.99 502 77% 15k $150k (exactly $150,449) Insane Code
VMX · EA $14.99 229 89% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Break Free Interactive
Hot Lap League: Deluxe Edition older $14.99 169 78% 5.1k $76k (exactly $75,999) Ultimate Studio
AI Learns To Drive $7.49 208 95% 6.2k $47k (exactly $46,738) ActivationFunction
Reverse Problem $12.99 52 86% 1.6k $20k (exactly $20,264) Tag Axle Games
Speed Demons 2 $14.99 26 92% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Radiangames
Synthwave Driver · EA $2.99 107 86% 3.2k $9.6k (exactly $9,598) Runebox Studios
PAKO 4 · EA $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Tree Men Games
AURORA FLIGHT (オーロラ・フライト) $10.99 17 41% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) すたじおわかる

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.