Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Idler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Idler Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Idler

Only 9 developers shipped an Idler Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, AI Learns To Drive, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $390. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Idler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Idler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $386 (exactly $386)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,904)
Top 5% $47k (exactly $46,738)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 31
Announced 14
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Idler
effort 1 / 10 · high · number growth curves and a UI

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Idler
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 906 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 14 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  5. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  6. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  7. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  10. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  11. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds20 devs · median $17k · 17 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Road Maintenance Simulator older $24.99 159 57% 4.8k $119k (exactly $119,202) Caipirinha Games
AI Learns To Drive $7.49 208 95% 6.2k $47k (exactly $46,738) ActivationFunction
GAI Stops Auto: Right Version Simulator older $2.99 287 85% 8.6k $26k (exactly $25,744) Axyos Games, Feas
Mars Rover Simulator older $19.99 24 25% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) DexterCoding
Parking in Tight Spaces $9.99 40 77% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Hungry Devs
My Witch Wants Elixirs! $6.99 52 69% 1.6k $11k (exactly $10,904) TeamDDD
Bicycle Rider Simulator older $3.99 71 43% 2.1k $8.5k (exactly $8,499) DiamosDev
迷途 · EA older $9.99 27 66% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) 白雪山工作室
Endless Casual Drive older $9.99 24 62% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) MorningHeart
TOP TRUCK DRIVER older $9.99 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Stas Paty9mkin
Car Tycoon $6.99 8 87% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) TOKI Games
Desert Race Adventures $5.99 9 77% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Firedrake Games
Checkpoint Inc $4.27 8 75% 240 $1.0k (exactly $1,025) Punchers
Deskquarium $0.99 13 92% 390 $386 (exactly $386) Gimdeka
Desktop Dream Car $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Desktop Dream Car
Railroad crossing play $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) RucKyGAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.