Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Walking Simulator Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Walking Simulator

Only 16 developers shipped a Walking Simulator Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, My Winter Car, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×1.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $8.3M, ×5588 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 30 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.1k → $50k → $2.1k → $3.8k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $28,540)
Top 5% $8.4M (exactly $8,370,716)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 42
Announced 30
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Walking Simulator
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 19,459 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $8.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Winter Car · EA $14.99 18,614 94% 558k $8.4M (exactly $8,370,716) Amistech Games
Junkyard Simulator · EA older $19.99 2,182 64% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,308,545) Rebelia Games
Virtual Rides 3 - Funfair Simulator older $24.99 861 87% 26k $645k (exactly $645,492) Pixelsplit Simulations
World of Subways 4 – New York Line 7 older $19.99 302 70% 9.1k $181k (exactly $181,109) TML-Studios
Titan Chaser older $4.99 1,000 82% 30k $150k (exactly $149,700) Stas Shostak
Munich Bus Simulator older $14.99 319 59% 9.6k $143k (exactly $143,454) TML-Studios
A Merchant's Promise · EA $14.99 300 86% 9.0k $135k (exactly $134,910) Game Draft Studio
Global ATC Simulator older $29.99 133 62% 4.0k $120k (exactly $119,660) Robert Miroszewski
Road Maintenance Simulator 2 - Winter Services $24.99 117 49% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) Caipirinha Games
Beach Club Simulator 2024 older $8.99 185 78% 5.6k $50k (exactly $49,894) Catsupp Games
CyberTaxi: Lunatic Nights · EA $13.99 68 55% 2.0k $29k (exactly $28,540) Hed Media Games
Short Trip $1.99 280 98% 8.4k $17k (exactly $16,716) Alexander Perrin
The Vanishing Train | ワンマン列車 $2.99 42 66% 1.3k $3.8k (exactly $3,767) RAYBIS GAMES
5番線おじさん救出編 Platform 5 Dungeons $4.99 14 100% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA, SHINISE GAMES
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Grand Donald Trump Simulator $6.99 7 100% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Nuke Island Games
中国式富豪 $6.99 4 25% 120 $839 (exactly $839) 大米粥工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.