Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Trading

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trading Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Trading

Only 19 developers shipped a Trading Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Car For Sale Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×5.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $16k, ×11 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $10M, ×6883 the market median. Revenue is up 2145% on the market; 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 2145% on the market, 40 announced, ×5.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Trading
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $135k → $5.7k → $73k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Trading: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $386 (exactly $386)
Median $16k (exactly $15,912)
Top 25% $135k (exactly $134,910)
Top 5% $10M (exactly $10,310,721)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 31
Announced 40
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2145% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Trading; all of the top 25% also carry Immersive Sim, Open World, Simulation
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 36,323 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $16k, 1 in 4 over $130k, 1 in 20 over $10M.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 6 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Car For Sale Simulator $16.99 20,229 78% 607k $10M (exactly $10,310,721) Red Axe Games
Car Dealer Simulator $19.99 9,831 88% 295k $5.9M (exactly $5,895,651) Garage Monkeys
My Garage $19.99 4,010 90% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,797) Viking Game Studio
Used Cars Simulator · EA $19.99 1,147 79% 34k $688k (exactly $687,856) DreamWay Games
Hard Truck Apocalypse / Ex Machina older $7.99 2,426 83% 73k $582k (exactly $581,512) Targem Games
Storage Hustle · EA older $11.99 1,508 70% 45k $542k (exactly $542,428) Broken Clock
Car Trader Simulator · EA older $9.99 475 72% 14k $142k (exactly $142,358) Live Motion Games
A Merchant's Promise · EA $14.99 300 86% 9.0k $135k (exactly $134,910) Game Draft Studio
Snow Ash $14.99 179 73% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Ember Studio
Parking Garage Simulator · EA $11.99 203 38% 6.1k $73k (exactly $73,019) Root Games
Rent A Car Simulator 24 $12.99 154 53% 4.6k $60k (exactly $60,014) 2MEDYA
Car Service Simulator · EA $6.99 190 51% 5.7k $40k (exactly $39,843) Red Axe Games
Valet Simulator: Parking & Business · EA $12.99 80 82% 2.4k $31k (exactly $31,176) ToD Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.