Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Time Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Attack Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Time Attack

Only 7 developers shipped a Time Attack Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assetto Corsa Rally, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $420 against a market of $1.5k. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 8 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Time Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Time Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $419 (exactly $419)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $20,264)
Top 5% $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 29
Announced 8
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Time Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Time Attack
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 34,901 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $420, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $7.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assetto Corsa Rally · EA $29.99 8,757 87% 263k $7.9M (exactly $7,878,673) Supernova Games Studios
Motor Town: Behind The Wheel · EA older $19.99 8,971 93% 269k $5.4M (exactly $5,379,909) P3 Games
TrackMania² Stadium older $9.99 5,340 88% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,600,398) Nadeo
TrackMania² Canyon older $19.99 1,384 80% 42k $830k (exactly $829,985) Nadeo
Barro older $4.99 3,253 85% 98k $487k (exactly $486,974) SC Jogos
Barro F older $4.99 2,329 84% 70k $349k (exactly $348,651) SC Jogos
Barro 2020 older $4.99 1,932 84% 58k $289k (exactly $289,220) SC Jogos
Barro Racing older $4.99 1,250 83% 38k $187k (exactly $187,125) SC Jogos
Barro 22 older $4.99 868 89% 26k $130k (exactly $129,940) SC Jogos
Barro GT older $4.99 817 84% 25k $122k (exactly $122,305) SC Jogos
Reverse Problem $12.99 52 86% 1.6k $20k (exactly $20,264) Tag Axle Games
Barro F25 $4.99 117 86% 3.5k $18k (exactly $17,515) SC Jogos
AudioRace $6.99 2 0% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Associazione Audiogames
Pursuit Rampage $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Instant Games Studio
KnockOut Drive $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dig Up Indie
Formula Rush $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cosmix
Street Drive Rush $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Instant Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.