Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Tactical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Tactical

Only 18 developers shipped a Tactical Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Responding, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $300k, ×205 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 22 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 22 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Tactical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $2.1k → $60 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Tactical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,603)
Top 5% $307k (exactly $306,627)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 35
Announced 22
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 160% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Tactical; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Driving, Immersive Sim
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Realistic, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 1,483 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $300k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
F1® Manager 2024 older $34.99 5,554 83% 167k $5.8M (exactly $5,830,034) Frontier Developments
Tower! Simulator 3 older $59.99 1,047 67% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) FeelThere
EMERGENCY 20 older $29.99 2,078 84% 62k $1.9M (exactly $1,869,577) Sixteen Tons Entertainment
Responding · EA $24.99 409 45% 12k $307k (exactly $306,627) Visionary Studios
Golden Lap $14.99 624 86% 19k $281k (exactly $280,613) Funselektor Labs Inc., Strelka Games
GT Manager $24.99 236 71% 7.1k $177k (exactly $176,929) THE TINY DIGITAL FACTORY, IMV STUDIO
OVRLRD · EA older $29.99 96 85% 2.9k $86k (exactly $86,371) OVRLRD
Military Logistics Simulator $24.99 109 17% 3.3k $82k (exactly $81,717) Nano Games
Formula TOP $12.99 58 91% 1.7k $23k (exactly $22,603) SQX Interactive
Ports Of Call Deluxe 3D 2024 older $14.99 46 78% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Dipl. Ing. Rolf-Dieter Klein
AURORA FLIGHT (オーロラ・フライト) $10.99 17 41% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) すたじおわかる
Bridge Orders - Outrim: The Unseen Enemy · EA $9.99 7 71% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) POISOFT
Under Destruction · EA $18.99 3 66% 90 $1.7k (exactly $1,709) Quantum Dynamics
Delta Vector - Turn Based Racing $3.99 12 83% 360 $1.4k (exactly $1,436) Felipe Pechmann
CarCam $3.99 8 25% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Movcans Vadims

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.