Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Survival

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Survival Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Survival

Of 26 developers who shipped a Survival Automobile Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.0k, ×2.7 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×8960 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 72 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 50% on the market, 72 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Survival
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $143k → $239 → $3.8k → $13M → $114k → $3.3k (still earning) → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Survival: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Top 25% $80k (exactly $80,496)
Top 5% $13M (exactly $13,421,879)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 74
Announced 72
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Survival; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Open World, Driving
Price point
$14.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 147,584 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $4.0k, 1 in 4 over $80k, 1 in 20 over $13M.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Summer Car $14.99 108,503 94% 3.3M $49M (exactly $48,793,799) Amistech Games
Mad Max older $19.99 57,651 91% 1.7M $35M (exactly $34,573,305) Avalanche Studios
The Long Drive · EA older $15.99 50,184 88% 1.5M $24M (exactly $24,073,265) Genesz
Contraband Police older $29.99 24,882 95% 746k $22M (exactly $22,386,335) Crazy Rocks
Drive Beyond Horizons · EA $24.99 17,903 77% 537k $13M (exactly $13,421,879) Drive Beyond Horizons
My Winter Car · EA $14.99 18,614 94% 558k $8.4M (exactly $8,370,716) Amistech Games
Jalopy older $14.99 9,020 78% 271k $4.1M (exactly $4,056,294) Minskworks
Star Trucker older $24.99 4,928 77% 148k $3.7M (exactly $3,694,522) Monster and Monster
Alaskan Road Truckers older $21.99 2,711 62% 81k $1.8M (exactly $1,788,447) Road Studio S.A.
UNDER the SAND - a road trip simulator older $19.99 1,556 78% 47k $933k (exactly $933,133) IndieMax
Caravanners · EA $17.99 712 35% 21k $384k (exactly $384,266) Akif Akdemir
The Slaverian Trucker $11.99 789 85% 24k $284k (exactly $283,803) SawyerK Games
A Merchant's Promise · EA $14.99 300 86% 9.0k $135k (exactly $134,910) Game Draft Studio
Long Drive North: Co-Op RV Simulator · EA $14.99 254 41% 7.6k $114k (exactly $114,224) Mindflair Games LTD
Snow Ash $14.99 179 73% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Ember Studio
Driving Life $14.99 174 55% 5.2k $78k (exactly $78,248) Chrysopy Games
Nightmare Drive · EA $14.99 156 78% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Voidfiller

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.