Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Resource Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Resource Management Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Resource Management

Of 34 developers who shipped a Resource Management Automobile Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $11k, ×7.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $470k, ×316 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 83 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 83 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Resource Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $7.2k → $719 → $3.5k → $105k → $5.7k → $11k (still earning) → $4.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Resource Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $2.3k (exactly $2,346)
Median $11k (exactly $10,912)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,267)
Top 5% $473k (exactly $472,682)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 72
Announced 83
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Resource Management
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Resource Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Driving, Immersive Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 8,162 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $11k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $470k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 5 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 19 older $17.99 64,621 94% 1.9M $35M (exactly $34,875,954) GIANTS Software
F1® Manager 2024 older $34.99 5,554 83% 167k $5.8M (exactly $5,830,034) Frontier Developments
Jalopy older $14.99 9,020 78% 271k $4.1M (exactly $4,056,294) Minskworks
Keep Driving $17.99 6,188 93% 186k $3.3M (exactly $3,339,664) YCJY Games
Junkyard Simulator · EA older $19.99 2,182 64% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,308,545) Rebelia Games
Car Manufacture · EA older $19.99 1,395 66% 42k $837k (exactly $836,581) STEREO GAMES S.A.
Storage Hustle · EA older $11.99 1,508 70% 45k $542k (exactly $542,428) Broken Clock
Subway Builder $39.99 394 59% 12k $473k (exactly $472,682) Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher,… (Colin Miller, EJ Fox, Curran Kelleher, Nate Maue, Alex Wohlbruck, Piero Maddaleni, Brooks Flannery)
Demolish & Build 2018 older $9.99 1,518 77% 46k $455k (exactly $454,945) Noble Muffins
Farm Expert 2017 older $19.99 462 38% 14k $277k (exactly $277,061) Silden
Factory Outlet Simulator $10.99 537 74% 16k $177k (exactly $177,049) PISHO
GT Manager $24.99 236 71% 7.1k $177k (exactly $176,929) THE TINY DIGITAL FACTORY, IMV STUDIO
Rally Mechanic Simulator $17.99 195 69% 5.9k $105k (exactly $105,241) Play2Chill S.A., Atomic Jelly
Snow Ash $14.99 179 73% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Ember Studio
Nightmare Drive · EA $14.99 156 78% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) Voidfiller
Team Principal: A Racing Manager · EA $12.99 86 93% 2.6k $34k (exactly $33,514) Patrick H
Car Mechanic Shop Simulator $9.99 111 55% 3.3k $33k (exactly $33,267) Digital Melody
Valet Simulator: Parking & Business · EA $12.99 80 82% 2.4k $31k (exactly $31,176) ToD Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.