Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Precision Platformer

Only 18 developers shipped a Precision Platformer Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150. Revenue is down 75% on the market, with 8 games announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 8 announced, ×0.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $17k → $1.9k → $1.5k → $208 → $505 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $27,296)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 31
Announced 8
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Precision Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, 3D Platformer, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 242 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 8 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Dangerous Mountain Together $4.99 164 73% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Çağatay Demir, Doğukan Şahin
Forklift Extreme: Deluxe Edition older $9.99 59 94% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Last Man Gaming
Japanese Rail Sim: Operating the MEITETSU Line older $8.99 63 61% 1.9k $17k (exactly $16,991) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
Tails Noir: Rebel Rush older $4.94 78 98% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,560) Soup with Friends, Eggnut
Train Deluxe 2026 Kurakyu $29.99 4 0% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Rolling Car older $4.99 21 61% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) SimpleSoft
Unimime - Unicycle Madness older $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Roflcopter Ink GmbH
Race for Your Life older $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) DduXan
WINCH IT OUT $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) ARASLANIX
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Evel Knievel $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Barnstorm Games
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya
Car Parkour 2 Together $0.99 17 88% 510 $505 (exactly $505) cnsgames
Wide Load $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Dev Bros, Ty Conner
Up To Divine $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) GHSPG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.