Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Platformer

Only 16 developers shipped a Platformer Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dangerous Mountain Together, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $24k, ×16 the market median. Revenue is up 100% on the market; 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 12 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $298 → $505 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,551)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 42
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Driving, 3D Platformer, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Cartoony, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 299 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clustertruck older $14.99 14,706 93% 441k $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) Landfall
Dangerous Mountain Together $4.99 164 73% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Çağatay Demir, Doğukan Şahin
DriveCrazy $10.99 73 94% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,068) TubezGames
Stunt Paradise older $7.99 89 96% 2.7k $21k (exactly $21,333) Brinemedia
Tails Noir: Rebel Rush older $4.94 78 98% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,560) Soup with Friends, Eggnut
Drive Up older $4.99 39 51% 1.2k $5.8k (exactly $5,838) Astrasoft
BH Trials older $8.99 17 94% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) Pico Sacro Games
Extreme Truck Stunts older $4.99 28 82% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) ·
Resoraki: The racing older $0.99 123 68% 3.7k $3.7k (exactly $3,653) Airem
Ambulance Emergency Simulation older $7.99 14 85% 420 $3.4k (exactly $3,356) Soner Çakır
Extreme Forklifting 3 · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DevM Games
WINCH IT OUT $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) ARASLANIX
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya
Train Plus | トレインプラス $8.99 3 100% 90 $809 (exactly $809) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Car Parkour 2 Together $0.99 17 88% 510 $505 (exactly $505) cnsgames
Wide Load $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Dev Bros, Ty Conner
Rival Roads Car Racing $1.99 5 40% 150 $298 (exactly $298) HEASD
17 MPH $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) BPGS

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.