Games › Automobile Sim › Automobile Sim + Local Multiplayer
Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Automobile Sim?
Automobile Sim + Local Multiplayer
Of 20 developers who shipped a Local Multiplayer Automobile Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×195 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 23 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) |
| Top 25% | $9.8k (exactly $9,828) |
| Top 5% | $292k (exactly $291,527) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 91 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Automobile Sim
- effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
- Local Multiplayer
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Automobile Sim, Local Multiplayer; all of the top 25% also carry Driving, PvP, Racing
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 813 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Split ScreenStrong odds
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Multiple EndingsLong shot
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
DIRT 5 2020 · $6.4M 
FlatOut 2 2006 · $5.8M 
FlatOut: Ultimate Carnage Collector's Edition 2008 · $4.0M 
GRIP: Combat Racing 2018 · $3.3M 
TRAIL OUT 2022 · $1.8M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DIRT 5 | older | $59.99 | 3,530 59% | 106k | $6.4M (exactly $6,352,941) | Codemasters |
| | FlatOut 2 | older | $9.99 | 19,466 95% | 584k | $5.8M (exactly $5,833,960) | Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group) |
| | FlatOut: Ultimate Carnage Collector's Edition | older | $19.99 | 6,747 89% | 202k | $4.0M (exactly $4,046,176) | Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Me… (Bugbear Entertainment, ZOOM Platform Media, Jordan Freeman Group) |
| | GRIP: Combat Racing | older | $29.99 | 3,669 86% | 110k | $3.3M (exactly $3,300,999) | Caged Element |
| | TRAIL OUT | older | $19.99 | 3,019 81% | 91k | $1.8M (exactly $1,810,494) | GOOD BOYS |
 | TrackMania² Stadium | older | $9.99 | 5,340 88% | 160k | $1.6M (exactly $1,600,398) | Nadeo |
 | Circuit Superstars | older | $19.99 | 2,218 86% | 67k | $1.3M (exactly $1,330,135) | Original Fire Games |
 | TrackMania² Canyon | older | $19.99 | 1,384 80% | 42k | $830k (exactly $829,985) | Nadeo |
 | V-Rally 4 | older | $29.99 | 712 72% | 21k | $641k (exactly $640,586) | KT Racing |
 | RiMS Racing | older | $49.99 | 408 65% | 12k | $612k (exactly $611,878) | Nacon Studio Milan |
 | World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition | $39.99 | 243 89% | 7.3k | $292k (exactly $291,527) | Monster Games, Amber | |
 | BeaterCore | $9.99 | 322 82% | 9.7k | $97k (exactly $96,503) | Artem Arbatsky | |
 | Barro F25 | $4.99 | 117 86% | 3.5k | $18k (exactly $17,515) | SC Jogos | |
 | Chaos on Wheels | $9.99 | 34 67% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | Acodeon Development | |
 | Pretend Cars Racing 2 | $7.99 | 41 92% | 1.2k | $9.8k (exactly $9,828) | Patricio Marin | |
 | Karting4Fun | $7.99 | 25 76% | 750 | $6.0k (exactly $5,992) | LukasH | |
 | Combat Kart | $12.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | 01Game | |
 | Daily Driven Racer | $9.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | A-Grand HT | |
 | UrbanRail Metro Simulator | · EA | $11.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | UrbanDeveloper |
 | Hover REV Hispeed Burst | $10.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) | JKK_WORKS |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.