Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Level Editor

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Level Editor Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Level Editor

Only 17 developers shipped a Level Editor Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Bus, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $10k, ×6.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.9k; 1 in 20 cleared $9.3M, ×6272 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 16 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Level Editor
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $67k → $165k → $2.9k (still earning) → $47k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Level Editor: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $2.9k (exactly $2,876)
Median $10k (exactly $10,132)
Top 25% $165k (exactly $164,942)
Top 5% $9.4M (exactly $9,394,851)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 41
Announced 16
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Level Editor; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Driving, Simulation, Action
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 9,577 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.9k, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $160k, 1 in 20 over $9.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.9k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
American Truck Simulator older $19.99 165,692 97% 5.0M $99M (exactly $99,365,492) SCS Software
The Bus $39.99 7,831 73% 235k $9.4M (exactly $9,394,851) TML-Studios
Clustertruck older $14.99 14,706 93% 441k $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) Landfall
TrackMania² Stadium older $9.99 5,340 88% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,600,398) Nadeo
TrackMania² Canyon older $19.99 1,384 80% 42k $830k (exactly $829,985) Nadeo
Crashday Redline Edition older $11.99 1,528 89% 46k $550k (exactly $549,622) Moonbyte
Wreckreation $39.99 360 63% 11k $432k (exactly $431,892) Three Fields Entertainment
Train Sim World® 7 $49.99 278 74% 8.3k $417k (exactly $416,917) Dovetail Games
Torque Drift 2 · EA $19.99 376 62% 11k $225k (exactly $225,487) Grease Monkey Games
RaceLeague · EA older $24.99 273 71% 8.2k $205k (exactly $204,668) Oversteer Studios
ReCharge RC: High Voltage · EA $13.99 393 95% 12k $165k (exactly $164,942) Hondune Games
AI Learns To Drive $7.49 208 95% 6.2k $47k (exactly $46,738) ActivationFunction
A-Train 9 V5.0 : Japan Train Simulator Ultimate Edition $39.99 36 77% 1.1k $43k (exactly $43,189) ARTDINK
Delta Manager · EA $12.99 28 92% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Fassi Blue
Parking Lot Simulator: Car Collector · EA $12.99 26 65% 780 $10k (exactly $10,132) Byterop
Pretend Cars Racing 2 $7.99 41 92% 1.2k $9.8k (exactly $9,828) Patricio Marin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.