Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Incremental

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Incremental Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Incremental

Only 7 developers shipped an Incremental Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, My Witch Wants Elixirs!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $10k, ×7.3 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 9 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Incremental
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Incremental: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,816)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,904)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 30
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Incremental
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 236 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $240, 1 in 4 over $4.8k, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
My Witch Wants Elixirs! $6.99 52 69% 1.6k $11k (exactly $10,904) TeamDDD
BeachRun older $24.99 11 100% 330 $8.2k (exactly $8,247) Gamesforgames
Loop Miner $3.49 46 63% 1.4k $4.8k (exactly $4,816) AITHENA, Enter the Game Studios
Tank Zombie Smasher older $4.99 20 85% 600 $3.0k (exactly $2,994) SimpleSoft
Parking Slide older $0.99 62 74% 1.9k $1.8k (exactly $1,841) Guara Digital
Carperation older $14.99 4 100% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Vastudio
Visiting a celebrity older $0.99 25 76% 750 $742 (exactly $742) fusion
Duty Free Shop Simulator · EA $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) CLOWN MAGIC
Cruise Control Mode On! older $1.99 10 70% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Balti Calarasi
The Truck Game older $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Jim Gray, Mike Badillo
Slot Car Simulator $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Shoka Games
Traffic Jam Simulator $0.99 4 50% 120 $119 (exactly $119) AA Mini Games Studio
First Sin · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) OHO Games
God Save Wrist $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PBH production

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.