Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Flight

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Flight Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Flight

Only 15 developers shipped a Flight Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, FPV Labs - Drone Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×1.1 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $62k, ×42 the market median. Revenue is up 2135% on the market; 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 2135% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Flight
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $449 → $839 → $450 → $1.7k → $9.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Flight: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,709)
Top 25% $9.0k (exactly $8,991)
Top 5% $62k (exactly $62,369)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 56
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2135% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Flight
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Flight; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Exploration, Open World
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 67% positive over 452 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $8.9k, 1 in 20 over $62k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Crew™ 2 older $29.99 86,533 78% 2.6M $78M (exactly $77,853,740) Ivory Tower
Brick Rigs older $19.99 53,749 95% 1.6M $32M (exactly $32,233,275) Fluppisoft GmbH
SimplePlanes older $12.99 9,811 93% 294k $3.8M (exactly $3,823,347) Jundroo, LLC
Redout: Enhanced Edition older $19.99 3,438 84% 103k $2.1M (exactly $2,061,769) 34BigThings srl
Tower! Simulator 3 older $59.99 1,047 67% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) FeelThere
I am an Air Traffic Controller 4 older $59.99 566 79% 17k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,630) TechnoBrain
Redout 2 older $19.99 1,168 82% 35k $700k (exactly $700,450) 34BigThings srl
Pacer older $39.99 576 72% 17k $691k (exactly $691,027) R8 Games Ltd
Global ATC Simulator older $29.99 133 62% 4.0k $120k (exactly $119,660) Robert Miroszewski
FPV Labs - Drone Simulator · EA $19.99 104 67% 3.1k $62k (exactly $62,369) FPVLabs
Legendary Pilots $8.99 223 66% 6.7k $60k (exactly $60,143) BerkBox
Drone Simulator VR $13.99 27 96% 810 $11k (exactly $11,332) 0Space
Highway Drifter: Hajwala Simulator $9.99 30 86% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) Mad Hook
Pocket and Zooom $15.99 16 75% 480 $7.7k (exactly $7,675) TechnoBrain
AURORA FLIGHT (オーロラ・フライト) $10.99 17 41% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) すたじおわかる
Head Tracker $4.99 25 40% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) Yusuf Kurt
Under Destruction · EA $18.99 3 66% 90 $1.7k (exactly $1,709) Quantum Dynamics
Velocity One $4.99 6 66% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Red Mountain Game Design
Sky Combat: WWII Warplane Races · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Hard Shark Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.