Do I ship it?

GamesAutomobile SimAutomobile Sim + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Farming Sim

Only 8 developers shipped a Farming Sim Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bounty Pro Pulling, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×7.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $20k, ×14 the market median. Revenue is up 425% on the market; 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 425% on the market, 19 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Median $12k (exactly $11,743)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,912)
Top 5% $20k (exactly $20,242)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 19
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 425% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Farming Sim
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 107,011 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $3.2k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $3.2k. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 19 older $17.99 64,621 94% 1.9M $35M (exactly $34,875,954) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 17 older $14.99 23,063 93% 692k $10M (exactly $10,371,431) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 15 older $12.99 13,306 92% 399k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,348) GIANTS Software
Tower! Simulator 3 older $59.99 1,047 67% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) FeelThere
Lawn Mowing Simulator older $19.99 2,126 74% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,274,962) Skyhook Games
Professional Farmer: Cattle and Crops older $19.99 1,151 67% 35k $690k (exactly $690,255) Masterbrain Bytes
My Recycling Center older $14.99 626 69% 19k $282k (exactly $281,512) Darius Bode
Farm Expert 2017 older $19.99 462 38% 14k $277k (exactly $277,061) Silden
My Village Life · EA older $14.99 385 85% 12k $173k (exactly $173,134) Papucs Games
Best Forklift Operator older $19.99 224 75% 6.7k $134k (exactly $134,333) Simmersiv
Bounty Pro Pulling · EA $24.99 27 96% 810 $20k (exactly $20,242) KODGAMES, LLC
Smart Farm $8.99 59 77% 1.8k $16k (exactly $15,912) ZD Games
Life in red line · EA $17.99 26 76% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Pecha games
Garbage Packer $6.99 56 82% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,743) Trash Games Studios
Man Made · EA $19.99 8 37% 240 $4.8k (exactly $4,798) Rule51
Extreme Forklifting 3 · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DevM Games
Duty Free Shop Simulator · EA $4.99 4 25% 120 $599 (exactly $599) CLOWN MAGIC
Driveland $3.99 5 40% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Overshift Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.