Do I ship it?

Games › Automobile Sim › Automobile Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Automobile Sim?

Automobile Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure

Only 15 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mon Bazou, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×1.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $9.5M, ×6380 the market median. Revenue is up 8320% on the market; 21 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 8320% on the market, 21 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Automobile Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.3k → $959 → $299 → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Automobile Sim + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,032)
Top 5% $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 44
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 8320% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Automobile Sim
effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Automobile Sim, Choose Your Own Adventure; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Sandbox, Building, Driving
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 24,368 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $9.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Split ScreenStrong odds25 devs · median $5.5k · 14 announced
  2. + Artificial IntelligenceFair19 devs · median $3.0k · 17 announced
  3. + ZombiesFair10 devs · median $2.1k · 8 announced
  4. + IdlerFair9 devs · median $1.6k · 14 announced
  5. + LogicFair20 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + Multiple EndingsLong shot14 devs · median $1.0k · 12 announced
  7. + Score AttackLong shot38 devs · median $898 · 35 announced
  8. + ArcadeLong shot162 devs · median $774 · 180 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds46 devs · median $70k · 60 announced
  10. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $70k · 54 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds13 devs · median $35k · 19 announced
  12. + BuildingPoor odds44 devs · median $24k · 89 announced

All 92 pairs on the Automobile Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mon Bazou 2025 · $9.6M Car Service Together 2026 · EA · $2.2M Wrench 2018 · EA · $1.7M Apex Point 2023 · EA · $1.0M UNDER the SAND - a road trip simulator 2020 · $933k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mon Bazou $15.99 19,922 97% 598k $9.6M (exactly $9,556,583) Santa Goat
Car Service Together · EA $19.99 3,589 79% 108k $2.2M (exactly $2,152,323) V12 Studio
Wrench · EA older $29.99 1,898 84% 57k $1.7M (exactly $1,707,631) Missing Digit
Apex Point · EA older $18.99 1,832 86% 55k $1.0M (exactly $1,043,690) Apex Studio
UNDER the SAND - a road trip simulator older $19.99 1,556 78% 47k $933k (exactly $933,133) IndieMax
Caravanners · EA $17.99 712 35% 21k $384k (exactly $384,266) Akif Akdemir
OverDrift Festival older $9.99 1,103 79% 33k $331k (exactly $330,569) OverDrift Crew
GAI Stops Auto: Right Version Simulator older $2.99 287 85% 8.6k $26k (exactly $25,744) Axyos Games, Feas
Life in red line · EA $17.99 26 76% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) Pecha games
Lust for Speed · EA $6.99 62 85% 1.9k $13k (exactly $13,001) KG/AM
WorldDrive: Real Open-World Driving Simulator · EA $19.99 17 35% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) AJ Simulation & Engineering
Low and Furious · EA $6.99 15 100% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Code IT Game Studio
4番線 | Platform 4 $4.99 13 84% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) MFC STUDIO, KOSEI YASUDA
Ashes of Ambition $6.99 7 28% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) HiddenGem Studio
Fun Road $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) RMIT

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.