Games › Automobile Sim › Automobile Sim + Bikes
Should I ship a Bikes Automobile Sim?
Automobile Sim + Bikes
Only 14 developers shipped a Bikes Automobile Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, VRacer Hoverbike, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, level with the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×184 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $38k (exactly $38,276) |
| Top 5% | $276k (exactly $276,208) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Automobile Sim
- effort 7 / 10 · low · tyre, suspension and drivetrain simulation
- Bikes
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Automobile Sim, Bikes; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Sports, Physics
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,167 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Automobile Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Split ScreenStrong odds
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + ZombiesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + LogicFair
- + Multiple EndingsLong shot
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + AutomationPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
Comparable games
MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M 
RIDE 4 2020 · $12M 
TrackDayR 2021 · EA · $1.7M 
Dakar Desert Rally 2022 · $1.3M 
RIDE 2015 · $1.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | RIDE 4 | older | $39.99 | 9,921 83% | 298k | $12M (exactly $11,902,224) | Milestone S.r.l. |
| | TrackDayR | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,213 86% | 66k | $1.7M (exactly $1,659,086) | MadCow S.r.l. |
| | Dakar Desert Rally | older | $29.99 | 1,475 56% | 44k | $1.3M (exactly $1,327,058) | Saber Porto Ltd. |
| | RIDE | older | $19.99 | 2,107 80% | 63k | $1.3M (exactly $1,263,568) | Milestone S.r.l. |
 | TT Isle of Man: Ride on the Edge | older | $19.99 | 1,049 74% | 31k | $629k (exactly $629,085) | KT Racing |
 | RiMS Racing | older | $49.99 | 408 65% | 12k | $612k (exactly $611,878) | Nacon Studio Milan |
 | Simson Tuningwerkstatt 3D | older | $34.99 | 428 97% | 13k | $449k (exactly $449,272) | Silvio Mölter, Marcel Mölter |
 | VRacer Hoverbike | $29.99 | 307 89% | 9.2k | $276k (exactly $276,208) | VertexBreakers | |
 | LANESPLIT | $17.99 | 381 77% | 11k | $206k (exactly $205,626) | FunkyMouse | |
 | VMX | · EA | $14.99 | 229 89% | 6.9k | $103k (exactly $102,981) | Break Free Interactive |
 | Motorcycle Night Ride | · EA | $5.99 | 213 76% | 6.4k | $38k (exactly $38,276) | Suber Game Studio, Room Games |
 | Grind Rush | $15.99 | 9 66% | 270 | $4.3k (exactly $4,317) | AND GEAR | |
 | pedalverse | $4.99 | 14 42% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | FuristicStudio | |
 | Evel Knievel | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Barnstorm Games | |
 | Velocity One | $4.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Red Mountain Game Design | |
 | Crazy Bike | $11.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Crazy Bike | |
 | Toy Car Race | · EA | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Hard Shark Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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