Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Auto Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Auto Battler Shooter?

Shooter + Auto Battler

Only 17 developers shipped an Auto Battler Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Abyss Kitchen, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $72k, ×116 the market median. Revenue is up 45% on the market; 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 45% on the market, 27 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Auto Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $599 → $1.0k → $1.1k (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Auto Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Top 5% $73k (exactly $72,659)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 45
Announced 27
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 45% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Auto Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Auto Battler; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Survival, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 307 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $480, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $72k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Abyss Kitchen $11.99 202 89% 6.1k $73k (exactly $72,659) Pico Games
最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect older $3.99 504 53% 15k $60k (exactly $60,329) 栖鸾工作室
Spellshot older $9.99 76 69% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Team Monumental
The Wall Mustn't Fall older $4.99 63 88% 1.9k $9.4k (exactly $9,431) CapsuleCollapse
Burst Hero older $2.99 77 87% 2.3k $6.9k (exactly $6,907) YaYa Game
BBS (Bulletin Board System) Magica $9.99 15 86% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) ねむねむおかき
Bad Egg · EA older $3.99 35 85% 1.1k $4.2k (exactly $4,190) Blue Wizard Digital
Zombie Survivors older $1.99 63 61% 1.9k $3.8k (exactly $3,761) WubsGames
Maku $2.99 36 75% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) whelp
Shattered Dreams: that one time when all my applications got rejected, so I started my own company. My life became an idle / clicker game where I must increase all incremental values and squeeze my employees for every last bit of soul they have left. older $4.99 19 68% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) Rainy Parts
Legendary Heroes Survivors $2.99 28 85% 840 $2.5k (exactly $2,512) Last Loop Studios
Anarchy Road $5.99 6 50% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Bunker Brothers LLC
Fiora $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) ArcanaLord
​Shattered Lands (破碎之地) $6.99 4 25% 120 $839 (exactly $839) VoidStudio
Relictor · EA $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) AIMTeam
UnfAIr War: Survivors $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) S Ludens DMCC
SPACEFIGHTER - The Bullet Hell $2.99 5 80% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Michał JARO Jarosiński

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.