Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Asynchronous Multiplayer game?

Online Co-Op + Asynchronous Multiplayer

Of 22 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Asynchronous Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $10k, ×7.0 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $14M, ×9505 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 62 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 7.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 62 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Asynchronous Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $297 → $16k → $11k → $0 (still earning) → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Asynchronous Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,676)
Median $10k (exactly $10,490)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,682)
Top 5% $14M (exactly $14,238,040)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 61
Announced 62
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Asynchronous Multiplayer
effort 5 / 10 · low · a backend with accounts and persistent turns

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Asynchronous Multiplayer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Action, Character Customization
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 32,132 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $14M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Planet Coaster 2 $49.99 13,047 74% 391k $20M (exactly $19,566,586) Frontier Developments
Halloween: The Game $39.99 11,868 68% 356k $14M (exactly $14,238,040) IllFonic
Rise of the Ronin $49.99 6,503 64% 195k $9.8M (exactly $9,752,549) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Axis & Allies 1942 Online older $19.99 4,810 78% 144k $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) Beamdog
The Past Within older $5.99 14,673 94% 440k $2.6M (exactly $2,636,738) Rusty Lake
Meet Your Maker older $19.99 3,013 73% 90k $1.8M (exactly $1,806,896) Behaviour Interactive Inc.
Tick Tock: A Tale for Two older $5.99 10,006 85% 300k $1.8M (exactly $1,798,078) Other Tales Interactive
We Were Here Expeditions: The FriendShip older $3.99 3,979 81% 119k $476k (exactly $476,286) Total Mayhem Games
How 2 Escape older $12.99 684 71% 21k $267k (exactly $266,555) Breakfirst Games
Eggo $5.99 310 83% 9.3k $56k (exactly $55,707) 天赋一饼 Meme Crepe
The Mosquito Gang $5.99 152 70% 4.6k $27k (exactly $27,314) Space Raccoon Game Studio
Flawed Tactics $9.99 59 89% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,682) Flawed Games
Rune Legacy Idle $4.99 116 55% 3.5k $17k (exactly $17,365) Mume Games
Codename: Terranova $23.99 23 69% 690 $17k (exactly $16,553) ACGames
TopplePOP: Bungee Blockbusters · EA $14.99 35 97% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,740) ArkimA
Super World War $19.99 19 100% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Zero Games Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.