Games › Perma Death › Perma Death + Alternate History
Should I ship an Alternate-History Perma Death game?
Perma Death + Alternate History
Only 13 developers shipped an Alternate-History Perma Death game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hell Clock, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×8.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.2k against a market of $630. 35 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,206) |
| Top 25% | $9.6k (exactly $9,581) |
| Top 5% | $2.1M (exactly $2,119,940) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1305% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Perma Death
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Perma Death
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 3,817 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Perma Death with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LGBTQ+Strong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + PiratesFair
- + Traditional RoguelikeFair
- + Interactive FictionFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + 3D PlatformerFair
Comparable games
XCOM® 2 2016 · $48M 
Marauders 2022 · EA · $12M 
Hell Clock 2025 · $2.1M 
Broken Lines 2020 · $453k 
Super 3-D Noah's Ark 2015 · $155k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | XCOM® 2 | older | $19.99 | 79,998 84% | 2.4M | $48M (exactly $47,974,801) | Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac),… (Firaxis Games, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux)) |
| | Marauders | · EA older | $29.99 | 13,505 68% | 405k | $12M (exactly $12,150,448) | Small Impact Games |
| | Hell Clock | $19.99 | 3,535 82% | 106k | $2.1M (exactly $2,119,940) | Rogue Snail | |
| | Broken Lines | older | $24.99 | 604 76% | 18k | $453k (exactly $452,819) | BirdIsland/PortaPlay |
| | Super 3-D Noah's Ark | older | $9.99 | 518 92% | 16k | $155k (exactly $155,245) | Wisdom Tree, Inc. |
 | Black Legend | older | $19.99 | 172 62% | 5.2k | $103k (exactly $103,148) | Warcave |
 | Lost:Antinomy | older | $2.99 | 1,042 88% | 31k | $93k (exactly $93,467) | IMaiIna |
 | FEAR OF FAITH | · EA | $9.99 | 117 78% | 3.5k | $35k (exactly $35,065) | UNBREAKABLE ARK |
 | I Shall Remain | older | $9.99 | 99 66% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $29,670) | Scorpius Games |
 | Long Live Caesar | $9.99 | 51 78% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $15,285) | Yury Khovansky, Vladislavs Viktorovs | |
 | Italian Brainrot: In Prison | $4.99 | 64 81% | 1.9k | $9.6k (exactly $9,581) | ShLeks, Hero | |
 | Millennium Strategy | $14.99 | 21 85% | 630 | $9.4k (exactly $9,444) | MiMo Games | |
 | Three Sisters | · EA | $5.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $1.8k (exactly $1,797) | CFG Studios |
 | 201 - The Bad Number | $4.02 | 10 80% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,206) | Pavel Kopylov | |
 | Echoes of the Abyss | $4.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | RK GAMES | |
 | Struggle | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Galactic Lake | |
 | BIORAGE | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Phantomahawk |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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