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Should I ship an Alternate-History Inventory Management game?
Inventory Management + Alternate History
Only 7 developers shipped an Alternate-History Inventory Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ratten Reich, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×7.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×588 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 43 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $718 (exactly $718) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.7k (exactly $1,679) |
| Top 25% | $4.6k (exactly $4,613) |
| Top 5% | $369k (exactly $369,415) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 43 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Inventory Management
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Inventory Management
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,696 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $720. 43 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Inventory Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + LGBTQ+Fair
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + WargameFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + DeckbuildingFair
- + LogicFair
- + Card GameFair
- + Trading Card GameFair
- + Puzzle PlatformerFair
- + God GameFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | CONSCRIPT: Director’s Cut | older | $19.99 | 1,998 90% | 60k | $1.2M (exactly $1,198,201) | Jordan Mochi, Catchweight Studio |
| | Ratten Reich | $19.99 | 616 40% | 18k | $369k (exactly $369,415) | METALLADLERSTUDIO | |
| | Pandemic Train | older | $16.99 | 237 57% | 7.1k | $121k (exactly $120,799) | Trigger Labs |
| | SCP Strategy | older | $6.99 | 556 78% | 17k | $117k (exactly $116,593) | LUXO Interactive |
| | Neoproxima | older | $12.99 | 69 97% | 2.1k | $27k (exactly $26,889) | Lonestone Studio |
| | A Wake Inn | older | $19.99 | 36 58% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,589) | VR Bros |
| | Trail of Ayash | older | $14.99 | 45 60% | 1.4k | $20k (exactly $20,236) | Nowsky |
| | Old Future: Post-Apocalyptic Times | · EA older | $12.99 | 38 52% | 1.1k | $15k (exactly $14,809) | Frontline: Games Series |
| | The Legend of Bear-Truck Trucker | older | $4.99 | 52 98% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | Captain Games |
| | Flight of the Amazon Queen: 25th Anniversary Edition | older | $3.99 | 49 77% | 1.5k | $5.9k (exactly $5,865) | MojoTouch, Red Sprite Studios |
| | FuJianStrike | $6.99 | 22 100% | 660 | $4.6k (exactly $4,613) | Mithril_055 | |
| | Emerald Flower | $0.99 | 64 98% | 1.9k | $1.9k (exactly $1,901) | Trash Men Studios | |
| | Crisis Cabinet | · EA | $13.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $1.7k (exactly $1,679) | Function Labs Limited |
| | Your Price, Your Honor. | $2.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $718 (exactly $718) | Red Comb Studios | |
| | Tower of the Evil: Struggle of Eight Queens | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | GameMaker | |
| | Secret Of The Boarding House | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | noctivalegames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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