Do I ship it?

GamesInventory ManagementInventory Management + Alternate History

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alternate-History Inventory Management game?

Inventory Management + Alternate History

Only 7 developers shipped an Alternate-History Inventory Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ratten Reich, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 43 more are announced, ×7.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×588 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 43 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 43 announced, ×7.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Inventory Management + Alternate History
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Inventory Management + Alternate History: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,613)
Top 5% $369k (exactly $369,415)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 43
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Alternate History
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Inventory Management
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,696 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 43 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Inventory Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair10 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair34 devs · median $11k · 44 announced
  5. + WargameFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  7. + DeckbuildingFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  8. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  9. + Card GameFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  10. + Trading Card GameFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  11. + Puzzle PlatformerFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  12. + God GameFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced

All 164 pairs on the Inventory Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
CONSCRIPT: Director’s Cut older $19.99 1,998 90% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,198,201) Jordan Mochi, Catchweight Studio
Ratten Reich $19.99 616 40% 18k $369k (exactly $369,415) METALLADLERSTUDIO
Pandemic Train older $16.99 237 57% 7.1k $121k (exactly $120,799) Trigger Labs
SCP Strategy older $6.99 556 78% 17k $117k (exactly $116,593) LUXO Interactive
Neoproxima older $12.99 69 97% 2.1k $27k (exactly $26,889) Lonestone Studio
A Wake Inn older $19.99 36 58% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) VR Bros
Trail of Ayash older $14.99 45 60% 1.4k $20k (exactly $20,236) Nowsky
Old Future: Post-Apocalyptic Times · EA older $12.99 38 52% 1.1k $15k (exactly $14,809) Frontline: Games Series
The Legend of Bear-Truck Trucker older $4.99 52 98% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) Captain Games
Flight of the Amazon Queen: 25th Anniversary Edition older $3.99 49 77% 1.5k $5.9k (exactly $5,865) MojoTouch, Red Sprite Studios
FuJianStrike $6.99 22 100% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) Mithril_055
Emerald Flower $0.99 64 98% 1.9k $1.9k (exactly $1,901) Trash Men Studios
Crisis Cabinet · EA $13.99 4 75% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) Function Labs Limited
Your Price, Your Honor. $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Red Comb Studios
Tower of the Evil: Struggle of Eight Queens $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) GameMaker
Secret Of The Boarding House $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) noctivalegames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.