Games › Strategy RPG › Strategy RPG + Aliens
Should I ship an Alien Strategy RPG?
Strategy RPG + Aliens
Of 20 developers who shipped an Alien Strategy RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $510, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2605 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 29 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $299 (exactly $299) |
|---|---|
| Median | $505 (exactly $505) |
| Top 25% | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) |
| Top 5% | $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Strategy RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Strategy RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RTS, Strategy, Character Customization
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 2,408 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Strategy RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + EconomyFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + ConspiracyFair
- + Shop KeeperFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
Comparable games
Xenonauts 2014 · $2.9M 
Starminer 2026 · EA · $1.6M 
Red Solstice 2: Survivors 2021 · $1.2M 
Warhammer 40,000: Armageddon (Classic) 2014 · $567k 
Polaris Sector 2016 · $503k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Xenonauts | older | $24.99 | 3,815 86% | 114k | $2.9M (exactly $2,860,106) | Goldhawk Interactive |
| | Starminer | · EA | $29.99 | 1,818 72% | 55k | $1.6M (exactly $1,635,655) | CoolAndGoodGames |
| | Red Solstice 2: Survivors | older | $14.99 | 2,585 70% | 78k | $1.2M (exactly $1,162,474) | Ironward |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Armageddon (Classic) | older | $19.99 | 945 81% | 28k | $567k (exactly $566,716) | Flashback Games, The Lordz Games Studio |
| | Polaris Sector | older | $39.99 | 419 70% | 13k | $503k (exactly $502,674) | SoftWarWare |
 | Lightracer Spark | older | $12.99 | 970 83% | 29k | $378k (exactly $378,009) | Smartmelon Games |
 | Every Day We Fight | · EA | $29.99 | 385 72% | 12k | $346k (exactly $346,384) | Signal Space Lab |
 | Templar Battleforce | older | $9.99 | 931 92% | 28k | $279k (exactly $279,021) | Trese Brothers |
 | Black & White | older | $14.99 | 612 71% | 18k | $275k (exactly $275,216) | 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame) |
 | The Red Solstice | older | $9.99 | 883 72% | 26k | $265k (exactly $264,635) | Ironward |
 | WARSHIFT 2 | $19.99 | 54 70% | 1.6k | $32k (exactly $32,384) | Cyril Megem | |
 | Live Hard, Die Hard | $4.99 | 83 89% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,425) | Asobism.Co.,Ltd | |
 | Expedition: Shadow World | $15.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) | Pavel Tanonov | |
 | Egglets - The Long 10 Days | $8.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $5.7k (exactly $5,664) | wieLuft | |
 | Ark of Trisolar (三体方舟) | $6.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $2.7k (exactly $2,726) | Binary Studio | |
 | 重生之时 - Rebirth Moment | $6.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $839 (exactly $839) | Polatouche Studio | |
 | Ironseed 3 : Vigil | $17.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $540 (exactly $540) | Robert Morgan | |
 | the epic and amazing adventure of gleepglorrpgilliandoohiggintilliousMMDCCXXXIX the adventure where gleepglorrpgilliandoohiggintilliousMMDCCXXXIX lives and becomes king gleepglorrpgilliandoohiggintilliousMMDCCXXXIX | $0.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $505 (exactly $505) | Hydyhude |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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