Do I ship it?

GamesAgricultureAgriculture + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Turn-Based Tactics?

Agriculture + Turn-Based Tactics

Only 11 developers shipped an Agriculture Turn-Based Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mamon King, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×5.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×374 the market median. Revenue is up 860% on the market; 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 860% on the market, 13 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Agriculture + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $839 (exactly $839)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,639)
Top 5% $235k (exactly $234,989)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 29
Announced 13
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 860% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 807 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  2. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  4. + CatsFair18 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  5. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  12. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Latex Dungeon older $9.99 969 82% 29k $290k (exactly $290,409) GODNASK, ZXC
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
Supercow older $7.99 183 97% 5.5k $44k (exactly $43,865) Nevosoft
Citizens: Far Lands older $9.99 94 73% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) RedKar Devs
Deck of Harvest · EA $11.99 73 67% 2.2k $26k (exactly $26,258) GameFarmer, Pone Games
Grand Cru: The Wine Maker $14.99 37 86% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) hAi Corp
Legacy of Sin: Ill-Boding $12.99 23 69% 690 $9.0k (exactly $8,963) Absolute Power Game Studio
Dynasty Game 2 $7.99 29 65% 870 $7.0k (exactly $6,951) Yocone
Battle Map Studio · EA older $15.99 12 91% 360 $5.8k (exactly $5,756) Bradley Shepherd
Gardener's Path older $3.99 27 92% 810 $3.2k (exactly $3,232) Viridino Studios
Fungal Colony Sim 2 $7.99 13 61% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Skylor Beck
Tree Kingdoms $5.99 14 100% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Biscuit Factory Games
Leaf Town $6.99 4 100% 120 $839 (exactly $839) SpringLeaf
Bloomon $1.99 10 50% 300 $597 (exactly $597) 17 Pages
Workhorse $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) ZXC Wonder

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.