Do I ship it?

GamesAgricultureAgriculture + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management Agriculture game?

Agriculture + Time Management

Of 57 developers who shipped a Time Management Agriculture game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 73 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×3.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $390. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 73 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 73 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 57
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $13k → $3.0k → $1.5k → $59k → $1.2k → $179 (still earning) → $18k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Agriculture + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 57
Bottom 30% $386 (exactly $386)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,307)
Top 25% $23k (exactly $22,904)
Top 5% $918k (exactly $918,382)
Developers, 2 yr 57
Released games 142
Announced 73
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture, Time Management; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Farming Sim, Simulation, Resource Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 34,417 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $910k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 7 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 73 games are announced against 39 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  2. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  3. + CatsFair18 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  4. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  5. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  7. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  10. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  11. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + CapitalismPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 38 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Farm Together 2 $25.99 4,456 93% 134k $3.5M (exactly $3,474,343) Milkstone Studios
Farmer's Life older $19.99 2,373 89% 71k $1.4M (exactly $1,423,088) FreeMind S.A.
Farm Manager 2021 older $19.99 2,296 79% 69k $1.4M (exactly $1,376,911) Cleversan Games
Lawn Mowing Simulator older $19.99 2,126 74% 64k $1.3M (exactly $1,274,962) Skyhook Games
Farmer's Dynasty 2 · EA $24.99 1,225 72% 37k $918k (exactly $918,382) UMEO Studios
Havendock $19.99 1,504 81% 45k $902k (exactly $901,949) YYZ Studio
Hundred Days - Winemaking Simulator older $24.99 1,033 77% 31k $774k (exactly $774,440) Broken Arms Games
Lemon Cake older $14.99 1,683 87% 50k $757k (exactly $756,845) Cozy Bee Games
Welcome to Elderfield $17.99 1,334 87% 40k $720k (exactly $719,960) Chris Cote
Farm Manager World $19.99 605 68% 18k $363k (exactly $362,818) Cleversan Games
Ranch Farm and Store Simulator $12.99 252 84% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bewolba Studios
Hydroponics Farm & Store Simulator $9.99 298 80% 8.9k $89k (exactly $89,311) Bewolba Studios
Sloppy Fields · EA $9.79 201 95% 6.0k $59k (exactly $59,034) PixelPanzone
Farm Factory Simulator · EA $12.99 98 93% 2.9k $38k (exactly $38,191) Bewolba Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.