Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Dating Sim
Should I ship a Dating Sim Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Dating Sim
Only 15 developers shipped a Dating Sim Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fields of Mistria, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $24k, ×38 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $3.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $13M, ×21331 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 38 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $3.5k (exactly $3,466) |
|---|---|
| Median | $24k (exactly $23,740) |
| Top 25% | $324k (exactly $323,838) |
| Top 5% | $13M (exactly $13,395,985) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 47 |
| Announced | 38 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $11.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Dating Sim
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture, Dating Sim; all of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Farming Sim, Life Sim
- Price point
- $11.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 39,315 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $3.5k. 4 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
Comparable games
Stardew Valley 2016 · $402M 
Coral Island 2023 · $20M 
Sun Haven 2023 · $17M 
Fields of Mistria 2026 · $13M 
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town 2020 · $6.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stardew Valley | older | $14.99 | 894,201 98% | 27M | $402M (exactly $402,122,190) | ConcernedApe |
| | Coral Island | older | $29.99 | 21,828 89% | 655k | $20M (exactly $19,638,652) | Stairway Games |
| | Sun Haven | older | $24.99 | 22,069 79% | 662k | $17M (exactly $16,545,129) | Pixel Sprout Studios |
| | Fields of Mistria | $13.99 | 31,918 96% | 958k | $13M (exactly $13,395,985) | NPC Studio | |
| | STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town | older | $39.99 | 5,268 93% | 158k | $6.3M (exactly $6,320,020) | Marvelous Inc. |
 | STORY OF SEASONS: Grand Bazaar | $49.99 | 3,140 93% | 94k | $4.7M (exactly $4,709,058) | Marvelous Inc. | |
 | Clanfolk | · EA older | $29.99 | 3,779 91% | 113k | $3.4M (exactly $3,399,966) | MinMax Games Ltd. |
 | Roots of Pacha | older | $24.99 | 3,779 93% | 113k | $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) | Soda Den |
 | Moonstone Island | older | $19.99 | 4,063 84% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) | Studio Supersoft |
 | Tales of Seikyu | $24.99 | 2,179 83% | 65k | $1.6M (exactly $1,633,596) | ACE Entertainment | |
 | One Lonely Outpost | $19.99 | 540 58% | 16k | $324k (exactly $323,838) | indie.io | |
 | 欺神弄鬼 | · EA | $9.99 | 802 91% | 24k | $240k (exactly $240,359) | 猫台班子工作室 Cat Caboodle |
 | Orange Season | $14.99 | 364 59% | 11k | $164k (exactly $163,691) | Innerfire Studios | |
 | Sloppy Fields | · EA | $9.79 | 201 95% | 6.0k | $59k (exactly $59,034) | PixelPanzone |
 | My Heaven's Dale | $11.99 | 66 95% | 2.0k | $24k (exactly $23,740) | DreamingCat | |
 | Sky Harvest | · EA | $7.99 | 79 84% | 2.4k | $19k (exactly $18,936) | Armored Cat |
 | Baskin All-In: The Family | · EA | $8.99 | 26 65% | 780 | $7.0k (exactly $7,012) | TheSugarRay |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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