Do I ship it?

GamesAgricultureAgriculture + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Agriculture game?

Agriculture + Cats

Only 18 developers shipped a Cat Agriculture game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pawsome Resort, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 17 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59k → $13k → $899 → $748 → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Agriculture + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,443)
Top 5% $53k (exactly $52,876)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 44
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Automation, Creature Collector
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 330 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  2. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  4. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  5. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  7. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  8. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  9. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  10. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  11. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced
  12. + CapitalismPoor odds23 devs · median $17k · 38 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sakuna: Of Rice and Ruin older $29.99 5,004 92% 150k $4.5M (exactly $4,502,099) Edelweiss
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
STORY OF SEASONS: Pioneers of Olive Town older $39.99 1,357 82% 41k $1.6M (exactly $1,627,993) Marvelous Inc.
STORY OF SEASONS: A Wonderful Life older $39.99 1,199 78% 36k $1.4M (exactly $1,438,440) Marvelous Inc.
Horticular: Build a Garden, Attract Wildlife older $19.99 391 88% 12k $234k (exactly $234,483) inDirection Games
The Good Life older $29.99 198 74% 5.9k $178k (exactly $178,141) White Owls Inc.
Garden Simulator older $14.99 358 82% 11k $161k (exactly $160,993) PRODUKTIVKELLER Studios
Homestead Arcana older $19.99 98 66% 2.9k $59k (exactly $58,771) Serenity Forge
Pawsome Resort · EA $11.99 147 83% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) Pixel Puffs
Garage Sale older $6.99 103 98% 3.1k $22k (exactly $21,599) Bug Burrow
Animal Trainer Simulator $14.99 29 37% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) Games Incubator
My Tiny Garden $4.99 65 60% 2.0k $9.7k (exactly $9,730) Frozen Logic Studios
Meowingtons Simulator $5.99 48 95% 1.4k $8.6k (exactly $8,626) Oberha5li Studios
Catfish Idle Pond $4.99 23 100% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) Full Bridge LLC
Pawoki: Desktop Pets $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) BlastBun, Nektogone
Cozy Farm $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) PoleCat Games
Cats and Cows $4.99 5 40% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Joseph Cook
Paws & Potions $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Revolto Software
Potion Wilds $11.99 1 100% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Amotoplay

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.