Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Incremental
Should I ship an Incremental Agriculture game?
Agriculture + Incremental
Of 51 developers who shipped an Incremental Agriculture game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $680, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $270. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 60 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $269 (exactly $269) |
|---|---|
| Median | $683 (exactly $683) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,116) |
| Top 5% | $43k (exactly $42,697) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 51 |
| Released games | 105 |
| Announced | 60 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Agriculture, Incremental; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Idler, Simulation, Farming Sim
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.49 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $6.49 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 8,693 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Time ManagementFair
- + IdlerFair
- + CatsFair
- + God GameLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + FishingPoor odds
- + CapitalismPoor odds
Comparable games
Tiny Pasture 2025 · $1.3M 
Plantera 2016 · $405k 
Capybara Spa 2022 · $322k 
MR FARMBOY 2026 · $144k 
Bunny Park 2020 · $104k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Tiny Pasture | $5.99 | 7,055 92% | 212k | $1.3M (exactly $1,267,784) | CaveLiquid | |
| | Plantera | older | $2.99 | 4,518 88% | 136k | $405k (exactly $405,265) | VaragtP |
| | Capybara Spa | older | $7.99 | 1,345 94% | 40k | $322k (exactly $322,396) | Cozy Bee Games |
| | MR FARMBOY | $9.99 | 480 85% | 14k | $144k (exactly $143,856) | mrdboy | |
| | Bunny Park | older | $4.99 | 692 90% | 21k | $104k (exactly $103,592) | Cozy Bee Games |
 | Voodoo Garden | older | $2.99 | 765 76% | 23k | $69k (exactly $68,620) | M. Hanka |
 | Touch Some Grass | older | $1.99 | 820 94% | 25k | $49k (exactly $48,954) | jpm_games |
 | Desk Garden | $2.99 | 476 84% | 14k | $43k (exactly $42,697) | Siesta Studio | |
 | Farmtale | · EA older | $4.99 | 245 64% | 7.4k | $37k (exactly $36,676) | Titanforged Entertainment |
 | refarm | $3.99 | 298 87% | 8.9k | $36k (exactly $35,671) | otterhands | |
 | Woolly | $6.49 | 74 90% | 2.2k | $14k (exactly $14,408) | Anneka Tran | |
 | Mushroom Clicker | $4.99 | 69 94% | 2.1k | $10k (exactly $10,329) | Wizard Shrimp Games | |
 | Lazy Kickers | $2.99 | 85 90% | 2.6k | $7.6k (exactly $7,625) | Sos Sosowski | |
 | Horse Plinko | $4.99 | 47 89% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | Crawley, Womp | |
 | Trees Inc | $4.99 | 43 83% | 1.3k | $6.4k (exactly $6,437) | Mobmonks | |
 | Harvest Dice Profit | $2.99 | 66 92% | 2.0k | $5.9k (exactly $5,920) | Red Corn |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.