Do I ship it?

Games › Agriculture › Agriculture + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Agriculture Strategy game?

Agriculture + Strategy

Of 106 developers who shipped an Agriculture Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 144 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×3.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $230k, ×374 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 144 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 144 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Agriculture + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 106
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $2.9k → $3.0k → $897 → $4.3k → $1.2k → $2.9k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Agriculture + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 106
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,639)
Top 5% $235k (exactly $234,989)
Developers, 2 yr 106
Released games 289
Announced 144
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Agriculture, Strategy; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Resource Management
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 30,700 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 46 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 144 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Agriculture with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Time ManagementFair57 devs · median $2.3k · 73 announced
  2. + IdlerFair72 devs · median $1.5k · 67 announced
  3. + IncrementalFair51 devs · median $683 · 60 announced
  4. + CatsFair18 devs · median $449 · 17 announced
  5. + God GameLong shot9 devs · median $180 · 7 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds14 devs · median $58k · 13 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds19 devs · median $28k · 39 announced
  8. + Dating SimPoor odds15 devs · median $24k · 38 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds72 devs · median $19k · 180 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds58 devs · median $19k · 133 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds17 devs · median $19k · 39 announced
  12. + FishingPoor odds48 devs · median $18k · 80 announced

All 83 pairs on the Agriculture page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Farming Simulator 19 2018 · $35M Farthest Frontier 2025 · $26M Captain of Industry 2022 · EA · $12M Farming Simulator 17 2016 · $10M Farming Simulator 15 2014 · $5.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Farming Simulator 19 older $17.99 64,621 94% 1.9M $35M (exactly $34,875,954) GIANTS Software
Farthest Frontier $34.99 24,444 86% 733k $26M (exactly $25,658,867) Crate Entertainment
Captain of Industry · EA older $34.99 11,027 90% 331k $12M (exactly $11,575,042) MaFi Games
Farming Simulator 17 older $14.99 23,063 93% 692k $10M (exactly $10,371,431) GIANTS Software
Farming Simulator 15 older $12.99 13,306 92% 399k $5.2M (exactly $5,185,348) GIANTS Software
Ostriv · EA older $24.99 6,866 94% 206k $5.1M (exactly $5,147,440) yevhen8
Settlement Survival older $21.49 7,703 85% 231k $5.0M (exactly $4,966,124) Gleamer Studio
Fabledom older $20.99 6,772 85% 203k $4.3M (exactly $4,264,328) Grenaa Games
Cartel Tycoon older $29.99 2,822 75% 85k $2.5M (exactly $2,538,953) Moon Moose
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
Havendock $19.99 1,504 81% 45k $902k (exactly $901,949) YYZ Studio
Rana Card $12.99 1,183 89% 35k $461k (exactly $461,015) VisionRana
Farm Manager World $19.99 605 68% 18k $363k (exactly $362,818) Cleversan Games
Your Big, Cute Monster Farm $7.99 1,097 78% 33k $263k (exactly $262,951) KaiPlay Studio
Mamon King $12.99 603 90% 18k $235k (exactly $234,989) LiTMUS Co., Ltd.
Cropdeck $12.99 430 92% 13k $168k (exactly $167,571) Piotrek
Rise of Industry 2 $34.99 154 55% 4.6k $162k (exactly $161,654) SomaSim
MR FARMBOY $9.99 480 85% 14k $144k (exactly $143,856) mrdboy
Terra Firma 2 · EA $19.99 200 92% 6.0k $120k (exactly $119,940) Working as Intended

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.